Dur­ing the past few weeks I have been bom­bard­ed with ques­tions with ref­er­ence to the fol­low­ing:

1. Mr Jack Warn­er's po­lit­i­cal fu­ture; and

2. What would be the out­come of the cur­rent by-elec­tion in Ch­agua­nas West?

I hope the fol­low­ing in­for­ma­tion can help you come to a rea­son­able con­clu­sion.

Mr Pan­day lost the lead­er­ship of the UNC Par­ty in 2010 and his broth­er Sub­ash and daugh­ter Mick­ela were re­ject­ed as can­di­dates for the UNC in 2010. Sub­has was sub­se­quent­ly ap­point­ed to the Sen­ate and giv­en a min­is­te­r­i­al port­fo­lio in 2010 on­ly to have it re­voked in 2011 bring­ing an end to the Pan­day dy­nasty.The Pan­days be­came vic­tims of this his­tor­i­cal pat­tern of vot­ing south of the Ca­roni like all his pre­de­ces­sors–Win­ston Dook­er­an got it in 1991 and Hulsie Bha­gan did not es­cape in 1995.

The above in­for­ma­tion is pre­sent­ed to you with­out my opin­ion or ad­vice so that you could draw your own con­clu­sions as to the po­lit­i­cal fu­ture of Mr Jack Austin Warn­er.This is the his­to­ry of the for­mer po­lit­i­cal mon­archs of the sev­er­al in­car­na­tions of the new UNC from PDP to DLP to ULF to Club 88 and fi­nal­ly to what it is to­day.

Elec­tion re­sults south of ca­roni riv­er 1946-2010

Ran­jit Ku­mar

Year Con­stituen­cy Par­ty Votes Re­sult

1946 Vic­to­ria – 13800 Won

1950 Ca­roni North – – Won

1956 Ca­roni North But­ler Par­ty 807 LD

1976 Ch­agua­nas LAP 60 LD

1981 PoS North TLP 34 LD

Bhadase Ma­haraj

1950 Tu­na­puna Ind – Won

1956 Ca­roni North PDP 7801 Won

1966 St Au­gus­tine PDP 943 LD

1971 Oropouche DLP 1467 Lost

Sat­nar­ine Ma­haraj

1971 St Au­gus­tine DLP 2104 Lost

1976 Ch­agua­nas DLP 480 LD

NB: Bhadase Sagan Ma­haraj re­signed his seat in 1955 and suc­cess­ful­ly con­test­ed the by-elec­tion in Tu­na­puna against a busi­ness­man named Govia. The elec­tion was char­ac­terised by vi­o­lence and gun play be­tween Bhadase and his neme­sis Ran­jit Ku­mar who sup­port­ed Govia.

Simb­hoonath Capildeo

1950 Ca­roni South CSP – Lost

1956 Cou­va South PDP 5169 Won

1961 Cou­va South DLP 8239 Won

1966 Cou­va South Lib­er­al Par­ty 1273 Lost

1976 Cou­va North DLP 290 LD

Al­loy Lequay

1961 San F'do West DLP 3556 Lost

1966 Nap South DLP 6013 Won

1976 Siparia DLP 364 LD

Rudranath Capildeo

1961 St Au­gus­tine DLP 7927 Won

1966 Ch­agua­nas DLP 6803 Won

Mr Capildeo was re­moved from of­fice for ab­sen­teeism.

Stephen Ma­haraj

1950 Ort/Ma­yaro But­ler – Won

1956 Ort/Ma­yaro But­ler 4549 Won

1961 Princes Town DLP 7986 Won

1966 Princes Town WFP 350 LD

1971 Princes Town DLP 831 LD

1981 Ort/Ma­yaro UNC 2282 Lost

Li­onel Frank Seuk­er­an

1950 Na­pari­ma Ind – Lost

1956 Na­pari­ma Ind 5228 Won

1961 Na­pari­ma DLP 8815 Won

1966 Nap South SIP 421 LD

1971 Nap North DLP 1165 Lost

Ash­ford Sinanan

1950 – But­ler Par­ty – Won

1956 Pointe a Pierre PDP 6459 Won

1958 (Fed Elect) FL Par­ty – Won

1961 Siparia DLP 7483 Won

1976 Tabaquite WINP 193 LD

Fed­er­al Elec­tions–March 1958–Vic­to­ria/Na­pari­ma–Can­di­date for the FLP led by Sir Alexan­der Bus­ta­mante

Bal­go­b­in Ramdeen

1961 Ca­roni East DLP 6767 Won

1966 Ca­roni East Lib­er­al Par­ty 217 Lost

Ver­non Ja­madar

1961 Fyz­abad DLP 6624 Won

1966 Oropouche DLP 7433 Won

1976 Siparia SDLP 257 LD

Bhoen­dra­datt Tewarie

1976 St Au­gus­tine Tapia 978 LD

1986 Ca­roni East NAR – Won

1991 Ca­roni East NAR – Lost

Suren Capildeo

1976 St Au­gus­tine DLP 684 LD

Both fa­ther and son lost their de­posits.

John Bharath

1966 St Au­gus­tine DLP 5230 Won

1971 Ch­agua­nas DLP 931 LD

His son, Sen­a­tor Vas­ant Bharath, was dis­lodged in St Au­gus­tine by the UNC to ac­com­mo­date COP's Prakash Ra­mad­har. He was sub­se­quent­ly ap­point­ed to the Sen­ate and al­most be­came a vic­tim of di­vid­ed loy­al­ty.

Pe­ter Far­qua­har

1961 Pointe a Pierre DLP 6703 Won

1966 PoS North Lib­er­als 3004 Lost

1976 PoS Cen­tral DLP 692 LD

Bas­deo Pan­day

1966 Nap South WFP 326 LD

1976 Cou­va North ULF 5258 Won

1981 Cou­va North ULF 6938 Won

1986 Cou­va North NAR – Won

1991 Cou­va North UNC – Won

1995 Cou­va North UNC – Won

2000 Cou­va North UNC – Won

2001 Cou­va North UNC – Won

2002 Cou­va North UNC – Won

2007 Cou­va North UNC – Won

LD= lost de­posit

San F'do West= San Fer­nan­do West

PaP= Pointe-a-Pierre

Nap South= Na­pari­ma South

Nap North= Na­pari­ma North

Ort/Ma­yaro= Or­toire Ma­yaro

Fed Elect= Fed­er­al Elec­tions