All previous governments, along with the private sector, have paid lip service to diversifying the economy away from oil and natural gas, except one, the administration of George Chambers.
In the mid-eighties, the Chambers administration embarked on a Meet the Manufacturers tour. The goals were these: import substitution; extra-regional exports; and diversification.
Import substitution was needed to save foreign exchange by manufacturing locally, goods we imported. Extra-regional exports (outside Caricom) were required to earn foreign exchange and create more jobs in the process; diversification was needed to replace oil and natural gas as our only real means of earning foreign exchange as they both are considered wasting assets. In other words they have shelf lives.
The idea was to protect new start-up industries from competition for a specified period, either through increased tariffs on like imports or not granting licenses to import the said products. This would have given local manufacturers breathing room to achieve the quality and the economies of scale comparative to their foreign competitors.
Now that Moody's has identified lack of diversification as one of the reasons for downgrading our credit rating, the diversification bogeyman is back in play–30 years later.
Gerard Johnson
