Natural gas pipelines coming into service by year end may boost deliveries from the Marcellus shale deposit in the US Northeast by 30 per cent, extending a supply glut that helped send prices to decade lows. As much as two billion cubic feet of gas a day are set to flow from the lines in Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia, bound for markets along the Eastern Seaboard, based on government and pipeline-company projections. About 1,000 Marcellus shale wells sit uncompleted, mainly because of a lack of pipeline infrastructure, according to the Energy Department.
Jim Chanos, founder and president of Kynikos Associates Ltd, talks about short-selling opportunities, strategy in technology and banking stocks, and the hedge-fund industry. Gas prices have dropped 60 percent since 2007 as producers used techniques such as hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, to reach supplies trapped deep in tight layers of shale.
Gas futures tumbled to US$1.902 per million British thermal units in April, the lowest price since 2002, as stockpiles ballooned during a mild winter and record US production. "There are new pipelines coming up and more Marcellus gas is going to flood storage going into winter," Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago, said in a phone interview. "Unless you get a really cold winter, prices are going to be in the $2 range."
Natural gas for October delivery rose 9.9 cents, or 3.4 per cent, to settle at US$3.023 per million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices have gained 1.1 per cent this year. The futures have averaged US$2.679 since the April low after rising as high as US$3.277. Prices may average US$3.20 per million Btu during the first quarter of 2013, when demand peaks, based on the median of 18 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
Bloomberg
