The fiscal measures as outlined in the 2026 Budget, as important as they are as to how the Government will find revenue to expend in recurrent expenditure and give a boost here and there to meeting the many needs of the population, have been simply stated. However, absent are the really important plans and programmes for diversifying into production for export and to replace classes of imported goods and services.
Use of that word “diversification” has become clichéd because every government, economist, developmental specialist, entrepreneur, reporter-journalist, manufacturer has been advocating it over the last 70-plus years. The hope is for it, diversification, to first become real through the implementation of an observably planned strategy which aims at spreading the economy beyond its colonial base of being a raw material supplier to external markets and a consumer of foreign essentials plus.
Minister of Finance Dave Tancoo did what his predecessors of the major governments of the last 30-plus years have done, that being to deal in great detail with the fiscal measures for government to meet its commitments to employment in the public service, the purchase of goods and services, the collection of revenue through taxation measures, the payment of pensions and increases in salaries in the public sector and the functioning in general of the State.
Regarding the critical elements needed at present in a national budget that of outlining a set of immediately implementable and innovative plans and programmes to take the country into a development path, his statements were in fact clichéd repetitions of his predecessors of the two major parties and their coalition partners.
Yes, he identified and made a few statements of intent for tourism, non-energy manufacturing and agriculture, the three industries which have been targeted by predecessor governments and ministers of finance, planning and prime ministers for 40 years without much success.
As stated, the intentions include encouraging increased foreign direct investments and the creation of a few incentives and space for local entrepreneurs in the three sectors. But what has been said is really no different from that which previous governments have signalled as their intentions without much advance. Even the present minister responsible for manufacturing plus, has made the point that it is the successful implementation of solid and innovative ideas which are going make the difference.
The Finance Minister even made a tentative and hopeful step in conceiving of the utilisation of the ages ago abandoned Caroni racing complex for conventions. He even spared a word for aspects of culture and the Government facilitating and guiding the growth of entrepreneurship.
The point here is that while there are many generalised statements of intent in his presentation, nothing explodes as a great brand new adventure into the creation of a new and innovative set of concrete proposals for growth and development outside of energy.
In opposition, Kamla Persad-Bissessar never got tired of taunting PNM governments rightly asking “Where are your plans?” At the same time she boasted that she and the UNC had the plans to make the difference. Well, Minister Tancoo did not make them known to the public anxiously awaiting a new vista forward.
Without such plans and programmes being articulated in a specific manner, including definitive word of investors to become involved in listed projects then the statements are no more than playing to the audience as in an electoral campaign for office. The point is that the party has won office, vague generalisations have to be turned into reality.
One of the things which can be concluded from the budget statement is the hope of the Government that the uncertainties surrounding the Dragon gas possibilities will be worked through in the favour of T&T.
The closest Minister Tancoo comes to anything that can result in the production of plans and programmes of substance outside of energy, is his intention to establish what he refers to as an Economic Resilience Council, à la what the last government had, that being the Economic Development Advisory Board.
“The Council is mandated to support the nation’s economic transformation by facilitating investment, fostering innovation, promoting competitiveness, and guiding the transition toward a knowledge-based, export-oriented, and inclusive economy.”
Without seeking to be cynical of such a council, our governments have not been good at listening and taking advice and implementing possibilities in a timely fashion even when they are made by institutions they have established to advise them; that was the case with the PNM government in relation to the proposals of EDAB.
What should be instructive in what is to happen with the advisory council is whether or not the Government in its advance takes on the role and perspective of a listener and believer in anything which does not come directly from itself.
One needed position for the Government to adopt is to listen and learn from the many different post-budget fora in which critical analyses are made of the statement, not mere pandering to the Government for a position on the inside rail; it’s indeed operational democracy.
Tony Rakhal-Fraser is a freelance journalist, former reporter/current affairs programme host and news director at TTT, programme producer/current affairs director at Radio Trinidad, correspondent for the BBC Caribbean Service and the Associated Press, graduate of UWI, CARIMAC, Mona and St Augustine Institute of International Relations.
