Heading towards the climax of Carnival 2026, the House of Representatives and Senate, which both sat yesterday, were working apace like Carnival artistes— back-to-back.
Each dealt with issues relevant to people. In the House, the Land Acquisition Order (regarding titles for HDC Caura houses) and Copyright Bill (expanding protection of creations). In the Senate, the Bail Amendment Bill (ensuring the legitimacy of assets used for bail).
Aspects in all contribute to the economy. If issues regarding that T&T lifeblood source aren’t clear, today’s Skinner Park Calypso Fiesta participants may likely convey it in their inimitable style.
Not because People’s National Movement senator Faris Al-Rawi, at Tuesday’s Senate debate, predicted that, as he described the season as being “subdued” as during COVID-19. It’s been generally lower key. Certain popular fetes’ ticket sales are down. Ratings for others, “Meh” status. State cost-cutting removing blocks of North Stand spectators.
This, following a perfect storm of factors—beyond the ailing economy pre-general election—all ignited together in the new Government’s reset.
Job losses removing money from circulation. Sluggish energy prices beneath Budget projections. Discretionary and increased taxes. The HDC transfer “Inheritance” tax is also the second issue revealing Housing Minister David Lee being unaware of HDC chairman Feeroz Khan’s action.
If all economic factors result in artificially induced “recession,” enough economic experts have weighed in, for T&T’s challenge to be clear.
Amid this, the International Monetary Fund’s team is undertaking its usual annual review.
Last October, Finance Minister Dave Tancoo stressed there would be no devaluation or “going to” the IMF” seeking assistance. Tancoo admitted he hadn’t thought T&T was as badly off as it is, but he vowed a five-year rebuilding plan.
The IMF team’s been in T&T since last week meeting various Government ministries, including Finance, Trade, and Energy. Finance sources indicate that Tancoo’s expressed concern to the IMF about their recommendations in the past and at his first meeting with the IMF, about his belief that the IMF has a preconceived conclusion to push T&T into a structural adjustment package, including devaluation of T&T’s currency, slashing of the level of subsidies and otherwise.
They added that Tancoo openly advised that Government’s recognised the fiscal and monetary challenges inherited from the former regime and has identified plans to address them without the severe measures the IMF wants to implement. They indicated Tancoo believes the IMF agenda does not consider social and economic factors— and his meeting with the IMF was “belligerent and combative.”
It’s been made clear that the United National Congress Government would consider the people and country in dealing with what’s perceived as moves “to get the administration into following structural adjustment measures and IMF dependency.” IMF’s team is expected to meet Finance again next week.
Yesterday, Government officials cited revitalisation push, US Embassy economic/political counsellor Scott Hansen’s optimism on the energy sector’s post-2026 future and possible refinery movement.
There was no response on how cost-cutting caters for high salaried hirings such as at WASA. Elsewhere, it’s confirmed that wherever refinery investment goes, the OWTU retains its intention of being part of the restart and is consolidating work towards this.
On Wednesday, the IMF met the Opposition, including former Finance minister Colm Imbert. If there was no criticism of T&T by the PNM, it could have been since they were in charge for the past decade—and would like to be again.
If there were questions on what the PNM would do differently now, replies would have included using the (now removed) T&T Revenue Authority and involving the IMF’s Tax Diagnostic Assessment Tool.
As T&T’s priority problem, the economy’s health predicts the state of its second issue—security. While Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar’s warning to criminals and threat of another state of emergency took “in front” to ward off an explosion of post-SoE crime, T&T Police Service issues remain another matter. Particularly, the Police Complaints Authority probe of the police-involved fatal shooting of Joshua Samaroo and maiming of his wife Kaia Sealy. It’s understood the probe won’t be rushed and will involve an extremely thorough investigation: all evidence, including the post-mortem report and witness statements.
More immediately ahead: recommendations and declarations. Not just from Skinner Park.
