In delivering the 2024 Budget yesterday, Finance Minister Colm Imbert was required to strike a balance between the economic need to maintain some measure of fiscal discipline and the socio-political demand to show empathy to those most in need.
To a large extent, he got the balance right.
The initial estimate of the fiscal deficit in the current 2024 fiscal year is 2.7 per cent of GDP or $5.197 billion, based on total expenditure of $59.20 billion and total revenue of $54.012 billion.
Based on the projected expenditure of $59.20 billion, Mr Imbert has satisfied those at the lowest end of T&T’s income pyramid by increasing the minimum wage by $3 an hour to $20.50, to take effect from January.
That measure, Mr Imbert said, should improve the standard of living of about 190,000 workers, including thousands employed by the Government. Mr Imbert noted the hike would increase Government’s expenditure for workers at the minimum wage by at least $50 million per year.
The Budget also included an allocation of $1 billion in backpay for the 37,000 employees of trade unions who accepted the Government’s four per cent wage increase for 2014-2019. That wage settlement will add $360 million to the Government’s wage bill. Quite helpfully, Mr Imbert said he would press to ensure the payment of arrears before Christmas.
As a gesture of goodwill, the minister also said he would seek Parliament’s approval to make tax-free the one-time lump sum payment of $4,000 for the 1,600 monthly paid and 100 hourly, daily and weekly-rated workers who retired between January 1, 2014 and September 30, 2016. That measure is estimated to cost Government $19.7 million in revenue foregone.
The Government also included a $1,000 school supplies and book grant to 65,000 needy students, which will cost $65 million in 2024.
These four measures outlined in the Budget could potentially positively impact the lives of an estimated 293,700 people across the country at a cost of $1.49 billion. And many of those recipients of the minimum wage increase will also be among recipients of the $1,000 book grant.
On the other hand, Mr Imbert made it clear that the Government intended to start collecting the property tax in the 2024 financial year, which began on Sunday.
He also went out of his way to forecast that in its new business model, WASA was expected to reduce its dependence on government subventions which, in the 2019-2023 period, amounted to $8.118 billion.
“We expect the net deficit of WASA to be substantially narrowed following the completion of the WASA price review by the Regulated Industries Commission (RIC),” Mr Imbert noted.
The Minister of Finance also revealed that the Government was paying dearly to subsidise the consumption of approximately eight per cent of the total natural gas produced in the country to generate electricity.
In addition to that subsidy, he noted, the Government provided 121,000 low-income households with a rebate of 35 per cent on their electricity bills at a cost of $268 million between 2019 and 2023 fiscal years.
While Mr Imbert did not explicitly say electricity rates would increase, T&TEC, like WASA, has a rate increase application before the RIC.
While tens of thousands of citizens will no doubt benefit from the 2024 Budget, Mr Imbert seems to be signalling that even more citizens will be required to dig deeply into their pockets in this fiscal year.
