The Energy Services Sector Survey (ESSS) maps the performance and optimism of our energy service sector members, providing data on their business confidence and on some of the phenomena which impact on their operations and business prospects.
The energy services sector is complex and has generally been considered to comprise those firms which provide direct services to the oil and gas exploration and production sector and to the petrochemical plants and oil refinery.
Levels of optimism in the energy services sector have fallen compared to the last three quarters. This could possibly be attributed to the lack of activity in the downstream plant construction sector. It may also reflect the uncertain global and local overall economic environment, which has been further compounded by uncertainties brought about by the state of emergency and (See Figure 1).
Impact of state of emergency
The Energy Chamber carried out a sample survey from our membership-select upstream, downstream and midstream operators as well as the energy services companies-to ascertain the influence of the state of emergency on their businesses. The survey highlighted how the state of emergency affected individual companies' production, the specific challenges companies face due to the state of emergency and the in-company solutions put in place to counter these challenges.
Based on results, 54 per cent of respondents noted that the state of emergency had affected the production or the volume of their business while 46 per cent of respondents reported no change in the value and volume of their business. Most operating companies in both the upstream and petrochemicals sector did not report that the state of emergency and curfew had a major impact on their actual production.
However, it led to delays in the implementation of maintenance or construction projects and drilling programmes, potentially leading to constrained production in the future.These delays have had a more immediate impact on service companies and contractors who have had to slow down or postpone the implementation of activities.The companies affected cited maintenance delays, cancellation of shifts, transportation delays and problems associated with travel for employees living in designated curfew areas. Some companies also cited delays caused by international teams postponing travel to Trinidad.
Traditionally, the oilfield sector has started work early in the morning and some of the work sites are long distances from main population centres on minor roads. The initial 5am curfew meant that start times for morning shifts were delayed. Even outside of the curfew areas, some member companies reported that police road blocks have discouraged workers from travelling to work sites during curfew hours.
Levels of Optimism (Figure 1)
As the survey shows, despite the increase in exploration activity, the energy services sector is still experiencing a period of uncertainty in the value and volume of business (See Figures 2 and 3).
Most respondents are also indicating that they do not expect any change in the levels for both value and volume of business in Q4 2012.
Employment
Employment in the energy services sector appears to be stagnant. Forty-seven per cent of respondents said that there would be no change in numbers employed, with only 29 per cent of the respondents indicated that their employment levels were up.
These stagnant employment statistics point to no new developments, especially with respect to downstream plant construction (the major creator of employment in the sector).
While rig activity has increased in 2011, with five rigs operating offshore, companies would have been aware of this improvement from earlier in the year and would likely have added to their staff by mid-June.
There is also no new anticipated downstream project planned for 2011 and any new construction will not likely start until mid-2012.
Capital expenditure
Results also show that capital expenditure is on the increase. Last quarter, only 25 per cent of respondents indicate that they would be increasing capital expenditure on land and building and information technology. This quarter, most respondents said they would be increasing capital expenditure in land and building (47 per cent), information technology (47 per cent), plant, machinery and vehicles (41 per cent).
Due to the uncertainty in demand in T&T, it is important for local energy services companies to seek international markets for their goods and services.
Recently, the Energy Chamber organised a very fruitful energy services trade mission to Suriname. The chamber has taken trade missions to Cuba, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Rwanda, Ghana, Nigeria and Brazil.
Currently, the Energy Chamber is planning a return visit to Brazil.
For further information, please contact: Priya Marajh at: priya@energy.tt
ENERGY CHAMBER
