United States: The week ended December 2 highlighted data on consumer confidence, the labour market and the housing market.The Conference Board confidence index increased to 56 from a revised reading of 40.9 in October. This represented the biggest monthly gain since April 2003.This improvement in the index may help sustain household purchases after sales surged at the start of the holiday shopping season, Black Friday and Cyber Monday on November 25 and 28, respectively.In terms of the housing market, the index of pending home sales increased 10.4 per cent, the biggest gain since November 2010, after falling 4.6 per cent the previous month.While mortgage rates near record lows are helping buyers purchase housing that is growing more affordable as prices drop, the high unemployment rate and tight lending standards are keeping others from the market.
On a year on year basis, pending home sales increased 7.4 per cent.The labour report release on December 2 came as a surprise to the market as the jobless rate fell to 8.6 per cent, a level not seen since March 2009. For the month of November, employment climbed by 120,000 workers, with more than half the hiring coming from retailers and temporary help agencies.During the month of October, 100,000 workers were added to the workforce. Despite the much welcomed improvement in the labour rate, part reason for the decline was due to a drop in the participation rate as workers left the workforce, giving up on their search from jobs.Although this was the case, the lower rate bodes well for the economy as it shows some sign of recovery for the labour market.
Other data released during the week showed an improvement in manufacturing as the ISM Manufacturing index increased to 52.7 from 50.8 in October.The stronger manufacturing was punctuated by gains in orders and production. Jobless claims during the holiday-shortened week, climbed by 6,000 to 402,000 in the week ended November 25, which cast some doubt over the labour market ahead of the positive labour report on December 2.For the first week in December, limited data releases are expected, however notable ones include the ISM services index and the trade balance report.
Euro-zone
1. On November 30, 2011, the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank announced a co-ordinated effort to enhance their capacity to provide liquidity to the global financial system.The central banks have agreed to lower the pricing on the existing temporary US dollar liquidity swap arrangements by 50 basis points (bps). Under the dollar liquidity-swap programme, the Fed lends dollars to the ECB and other central banks in exchange for currencies, including euros.The central banks then lend dollars to commercial banks in their jurisdictions through an auction process. The action is expected to ease strain on financial markets and mitigate the effect of these strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses so as to help foster economic activity.
2. The ECB announced on December 2, 2011, that it would provide US$270 billion in support to the euro-zone via the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This allows to the ECB to indirectly engage in asset purchasing which would otherwise be in violation of their mandate to control inflation.
3. German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy will hold talks in Paris on December 5, 2011, to discuss closer economic integration and tougher policing of fiscal rules. The discussion comes ahead of a meeting of euro-zone leaders on December 9 aimed at furthering talks on the resolution of the crisis.
4. The Italian Cabinet has approved a 30 billion euro (US$40 billion) package of emergency economic measures to shore up the country's finances. Italy's prime minister is due to present the plan to the legislature on December 5, 2011, and parliament may vote on the measure by the end of the month.
5. The Greek parliament will vote on their 2012 budget on December 6, 2011. The budget proposes a sharp reduction in the budget deficit from an estimated 9 per cent of gross domestic product in FY 2011 to 5.4 per cent in the FY 2012.
6. The ECB will hold its monthly meeting on December 8, 2011. It will decide at this meeting whether its policy interest rate will be cut again from its current 1.25 per cent level, following a 25 bps reduction at last month's meeting.
Credit Rating Changes:United States: On November 28, 2011, Fitch revised its outlook on the US to negative, citing that increasing fiscal challenges with regards to the lack of consensus on proposed budget cuts. Fitch is the latest ratings agency to post a negative outlook on US sovereign rating.Moody's has a negative outlook and S&P downgraded the sovereign in August and maintains a negative outlook.
T&T stock market:TTSE Composite Indexsees marginal decline
The Composite Index saw a marginal increase during the week ending December 2, increasing by 0.05 per cent to a value of 1,009.59 as eight stocks advanced, seven declined and 24 remained unchanged. Jamaican cross-listed stocks dominated market performance during the week.National Commercial Bank of Jamaica (NCBJ) was the weekly volume leader with 65,554 shares trading at a closing price of $2.20.Capital and Credit Financial Group Ltd (CCFG) saw the largest price appreciation rising by 6.67 per cent during the week to a close of $00.32.Supreme Ventures Ltd (SVL) saw the largest price decline falling by 10 per cent during the week to a close of $0.18.Year-to-date, the TTSE Composite Index is up 20.82 per cent.
