At the dawn of the millennium, the politicians of the day enamored the people of T&T with the promise of developed country status. One leader suggested that T&T should be a developed country by 2020. The other, in the game of political one-upmanship, promised to deliver by 2010.
Today, three years after one timeline and 13 years into the other–meaning seven years short of the deadline–where are we on the road to developed country status compared to our starting point in 2001?
Our lack of governance systems and systems of government have left us moving at snail pace, if not at a standstill. This, despite untold billions of dollars in oil and gas revenues with lots more still in reserve.
It is a level of irresponsibility and, if I may use the expression "errant nonsense" of the highest order, that a nation can seek to approach the issue of developed country status without addressing its transportation infrastructure and having a reliable transit system.
A national transportation study is the basis upon which a transit system should be developed and infrastructure built. However, the last completed study for T&T was done in 1967, some 46 years ago. This study was prior to our first oil boom, and our last gas boom. If one understands the role of transportation on economic growth and development, then one will be forced to conclude there was nothing more reckless from our political directorate than the failure to update this study.
T&T was promised an updated document by the then Minister of Works in 2003. A new study was commissioned in 2004 but, at the time of the last general election, it was not yet complete. In the ensuing three years, there has been little mention of this document.
Without this study, the millions spent on the Vision 2020 plan was nothing more than a pappy show and its replacement, the current Medium-Term Macroeconomic plan simply a stop gap. In between all the shenanigans, billions of dollars have been spent and, in many instances, misallocated due to the absence of a clear and coherent policy concerning one of, if not the, fundamental building block of national development.
Imagine
Imagine a billion-dollar proposal with millions spent on feasibility, for a rapid rail project without the transport study being complete and laid in the Parliament. Imagine rejecting that proposal and moving to an enhanced bus service without the move to complete the transportation study.
Imagine proposals across the political divide to construct billion dollar highways and other road networks through the length and breadth of T&T and no study in place to ensure consistent and coherent action.
Can you imagine that in the above scenario, business groups and civil society as a whole will sit idly by and fail to comment or bring pressure to bear so that we can develop our transportation infrastructure to the level needed?
Can you imagine given all of the above, that a trade union movement, seemingly willing to protest for every matter under the sun, can't raise a voice in anger as it relates to the absence of a proper and viable public transport system and road network in this country. This, despite the fact that transportation affects the working-class more than any other feature of national life as people line up for hours or are daily left stranded for transportation to and from work.
If ever there was a case of willful blindness by almost all of the leaders in T&T, both past and present, then this is it.
Efficient transport, cheaper exports
Or is it that we are dealing with contrived ignorance where we are unable to appreciate it was the invention of the steam engine and the transportation network associated with it, that gave rise to the industrial revolution. Where we fail to recognise it was the opening up of air and sea travel that facilitated the economic growth associated with globalisation over the past 30 years.
It would be useful as well to consider the role transportation played and continues to play in the wealth creation of countries around the world. The United States is blessed through the Eastern and Western sea boarders access to the two other major trading basins in the world: Europe and Asia. It has the largest span of navigable water ways of any country in the world, then, of course, the southern sea border for oil and gas shipments. This, combined with a comprehensive road, rail and air network, generates capital daily as goods can be moved around the country and for export cheaper that most other countries.
The contrast between Northern Europe and Southern Europe is also in part due to the efficiency of the transportation infrastructure brought about by the fact that most of the navigable water courses in Europe are to the north. The use of water courses to transport goods represents the cheapest way to move cargo and generates a competitive advantage. At the present tim, Northern Europe is on stable footing while Southern Europe is a basket case.
It is the transport infrastructure of New York morethan anything else that allowed for the building out of a service sector that places the city as the financial capital of the world. The River Thames, which is the second largest river in Europe, flows though London and, therefore, provides a transportation hub.
The above examples point to countries utilising geography to assist in its transportation infrastructure to create a natural competitive advantage. However, there are also many man-made success stories. Transport infrastructure can turn places with no natural resources into thriving economic centres. The prime example is Singapore. It is the infrastructure Singapore has put in as it relates to being a transport hub for South East Asia and eventually for world trade that made it into the economic powerhouse. Panama, as a beneficiary of the Panama Canal, has build services around this location to become one of the success stories of Latin America. Were we not told that T&T was the gateway to Latin America?
Falling behind
Common to Singapore and Panama are air services that support the positioning of the respective countries on the global stage. Now compare Singapore Airlines and COPA Airlines to our own Caribbean Airlines Ltd, and its previous incarnation, and you will understand why we continue to fall behind.
Every day, with our current road infrastructure, we continue to fall further behind. Last week commuters between Port-of-Spain and San Fernando would have seen numerous examples of the need for an alternative highway route to link the two main cities in the country. Frequently, the north and south of the country are cut off due to road repairs, accidents or floods, and this has a significant impact on national productivity.
Beyond the infrastructure is the poor quality and unreliability of our public transport system. This has a direct impact on the level of wealth creation in our society. I am not simply speaking about getting to work, but how we spend the income earned from work.
Most people, once they begin working, will quickly go about owning a car and most often the car is purchased on credit. After taking account of interest payments, one will often be required to pay two to three times the cost of the vehicle in instalments. However, a car is a depreciating asset, meaning that by the time the vehicle is completely paid for, it is worth around one-quarter its original value.
Paying twice the amount to own one-quarter of the value at the end is a recipe for financial distress. The cost of owning a vehicle could easily be deferred if there is an efficient public transport system. Those funds can then contribute towards the acquisition of income-generating assets or the purchase of a home.
A more efficient and broad-based public transport system means demand for homes becomes more dispersed, leading to more balanced price appreciation and, therefore, greater affordability. All of these factors contribute to the creation of wealth and, ultimately, a society that is more self-sufficient.
Instead of these common sense approaches, we prefer to subsidise fuel, subsidise houses, and even subsidise the existing public transport services on offer. Eventually the subsidies will end and then our contrived ignorance or willful blindness will give rise to a rude awakening.
Ian Narine is a broker registeredwith the Securities and Exchange Commission and can be contactedat: ian.narine@gmail.com.
