NEW YORK-Oil fell yesterday to cap a frenzied trading week that sliced prices by a record of more than US$16 a barrel on demand worries and a move by investors to slash commodities exposures. Oil bounced up early, then began to erase gains as the dollar rose. Crude turned negative late, extending Thursday's shock-inducing collapse, when Brent fell by as much as US$12, a record, in a furious, high-volume session that saw wave after wave of selling as key technical levels were broken. Selling pressure on oil and other commodities came on several fronts throughout the week. Investors weighed factors from the death of Osama bin Laden to the impact of higher fuel and commodity costs on consumer nation economies to the monetary policy in major economies.
Cascading sell stops created a "domino effect", said Tom Bentz, director of BNP Paribas Commodity Futures in New York. "It became a vacuum of less people trying to buy and more people trying to sell." Brent crude fell US$1.67 to settle at US$109.13 a barrel in heavy trade, with volumes twice the 30-day moving average. The contract tumbled US$16.76 a barrel for the week, marking the largest weekly decline ever in dollar terms. US crude futures settled down US$2.62 at US$97.18 a barrel, after trading as high as US$102.38 following supportive US jobs data. Volumes were 70 per cent over the 30-day moving average. US crude ended down US$16.75 for the week, the biggest weekly drop since the contract began trading in 1983.
Loose money, shaky demand
Oil received early support from US Labour Department data showing private employers added jobs in April at the fastest pace in five years. But then the rising dollar again dragged prices down. The euro fell to its lowest in more than two weeks and headed for its biggest weekly decline against the dollar since January. The move followed a German news report, later denied, suggested Greece had raised the possibility of leaving the euro zone. "Payrolls were bullish initially, but the oil market is worried about demand growth," said Bill O'Grady, chief investment strategist at Confluence Investment Management in St Louis.
"If Greece were to leave, which is not easy to do, the European banking system would be in great trouble, damaging the economy and oil demand." Concerns about the end of the second US quantitative easing programme in June also weighed on prices. The programme, in which the Federal Reserve purchased US Treasury debt, flooded markets with cash and helped drive up crude prices, Investors were watching moves by other big oil consumers. India's central bank raised interest rates by more than expected on Tuesday, and expectations No 2 oil consumer China could take similar action hit crude on Wednesday.
