Oil fell again yesterday after disappointing reports on factory production and new home construction raised more concerns about the economic recovery and future demand.The dollar rose against other currencies as well, pushing down crude.Benchmark crude for June delivery lost 89 cents at US$96.46 per barrel in afternoon trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.The price of oil has dropped about 14 per cent from a high of US$113.52 on May 2.The Federal Reserve said factory production fell 0.4 per cent in April, its first decline in ten months. A key reason was a drop in auto manufacturing after the Japan earthquake and tsunami led to a parts shortage. Overall, industrial production has risen nearly 11.5 per cent since hitting a recession-low in June 2009 but is still below its pre-recession peak in September 2007.
Meanwhile the Commerce Department reported that new home construction fell 10.6 per cent last month from March. Much of the decline occurred because apartment and condominium construction plummeted. The seasonally adjusted rate fell to 523,000 homes per year, which is less than half the 1.2 million homes per year that economists consider a sign of a healthy market.
Oil also lost ground yesterday as the dollar strengthened against other currencies. The dollar got a boost from Europe's debt woes, particularly worries that more will have to be done to rescue the Greek economy. Since commodities like oil are priced in dollars, a weaker dollar makes them more of a bargain for buyers who use foreign currencies, so the price falls.
Investors also are concerned about China's efforts to slow its economy and keep inflation under control. China is the world's second biggest oil consumer behind the US, and traders are concerned about diminishing demand."The rationale for justifying US$100 oil is taking on water," oil analyst Stephen Schork said.
The good news for motorists is that lower oil prices are translating into lower prices at the pump. The national average for regular gasoline was US$3.944 a gallon yesterday. That's about 4 cents less than on Friday but 11.7 cents more than a month ago, according to AAA, Wright Express and the Oil Price Information Service.
