There has been a drop in car loans but an increase in borrowing for real estate investments according to the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).
In its quarterly monetary policy announcement, issued yesterday, the Central Bank said, “On the financial front, credit extended to the private sector continued to expand robustly. Private sector credit from the consolidated financial sector rose by 9.1 per cent (year-on-year) in April 2025. Business credit expanded by 11.4 per cent, driven by loans to the finance and manufacturing sectors.
“Consumer lending grew by 10.8 per cent, while real estate mortgage loans increased by 6.9 per cent. On the former, there was slowdown in lending for motor vehicles, but a pickup in credit for the purchase of land and real estate. Credit expansion was supported by ample domestic liquidity,” the announcement said.
The report, however, noted a dip in the liquidity in commercial banks, as it reported, “Commercial banks’ excess reserves at the Central Bank averaged $6.6 billion in May 2025, before slipping to $5.3 billion in early June.”
However the summary clarified that those institutions still enjoyed “ample domestic liquidity.”
The report said inflation was largely contained, although headline inflation, as measured by the Central Statistical Office’s Consumer Price Index, rose to 1.4 per cent (year-on-year) in May 2025 from 0.7 per cent in January 2025, (year-on-year).
The report stated core inflation (which excludes food prices) rose by 0.7 per cent, while food prices increased by 4.1 per cent in May.
The report said, “Food prices have been driven by higher prices for meat and for imported items such as butter, margarine and edible oils. Meanwhile, building material prices rose by 2.3 per cent (year-on-year) in the first quarter of 2025 compared with 2.5 per cent the previous quarter.”
Citing data from the Ministry of Energy, the Central Bank pointed to a mixed performance in the energy sector with a year-on-year reduction in the production of natural gas of -5.9 per cent during the first quarter of 2025, but a 6.1 per cent increase in the production of crude oil.
The petrochemical sector reported expansions in ammonia (4.7 per cent) and urea (12.5 per cent), but a 15.3 per cent decline in methanol output.
“Momentum in the non-energy sector appears to be slowing, but overall activity remains positive. Indicators monitored by the Central Bank suggest that positive performances in the manufacturing, distribution and finance sectors were somewhat offset by sluggishness in the construction and utilities sectors,” according to the monetary policy announcement.
The MPC said it was monitoring global events such as the recent conflicts in the Middle East but agreed to maintain the repo rate at 3.50 per cent.
