PETER CHRISTOPHER
Senior Multimedia Reporter
peter.christopher@guardian.co.tt
A budget curated with elections in mind.
This was the assessment of Finance Minister Davendranath Tancoo's 2027 budget presentation by political scientist Dr. Indira Rampersad on CNC's post-budget analysis show Reality Cheque on Monday night.
"Next year is an election year. It's a local government election year, so I think the mid-term budget is going to be crafted that way, and to some extent this one as well, because we would notice that this was a budget, I think, for the working class," Dr. Rampersad said, as she outlined fiscal measures that benefit the working class, with the vast majority of increases targetting luxury items.
However, Rampersad did question the Finance Minister stating that food inflation had decreased but grocery prices were still high.
She said, "We're not seeing it in real terms. You go to the grocery and you buy a few items, and it's $2,000."
Economist Dr. Ronald Ramkissoon shared concern that with everything promised in the budget, there was a strong possibility that the deficit had been understated. He warned that committing to such expenditures without secured revenue could undermine the country's long-term goals.
"Indira wisely pointed out not to forget we have our local government elections coming up, and all governments respond to that and sometimes make decisions that come back to hurt the economy, to hurt good financial management," Ramkissoon said.
The panel said the government did have some innovative approaches such as the introduction of the electricity surcharge on high-consumption residential households, but Eugene Tiah, CEO of the Caribbean Energy Chamber, expressed frustration with the use of subsidies which fall short of economic efficiency
"I think that we have to come up with a more targetted method of applying subsidies. I think that this one-size-fits-all is not a good approach. It irks me when I see a Porsche pull up and filling up with subsidised diesel. That's not the intention," Tiah said.
He said energy pricing must encourage conservation and productivity rather than waste.
"We can't have a pricing mechanism where everyone is quite comfortable leaving appliances on, without any productive use coming from it. I thought we would have heard more about productivity and efficiency," said Tiah.
Economist Dr. Jamelia Harris agreed that the implementation of the electricity subsidy also raised questions about the use of subsidies in the country.
She asked, "If we say those who could afford to pay more should pay more, then we have that conversation. But I don't think we should pick and choose when it is appropriate to say that, and when it's not,"
She also questioned the government's job creation target for the Revitalisation Blueprint, noting that the target would outpace historic periods of growth in the country.
"I was looking forward to seeing something a bit more structured and a plan that says this is how we're going to get these multiple jobs we're going to create," Harris said, "If we go back to 2000 to 2010, this is during Vision 2020 and the real economic boom that we had during that period, the economy created 60 to 70,000 jobs over a 10-year period. So I find it strange to think that we're going to create 72,000 jobs between now and 2028. So I have a lot of questions still, really."
Dr Ramkissoon and Tiah both agreed they had expected more structure in the presentation, whereas Dr. Rampersad argued the presentation was solid and properly put together.
