A transport planner is deciding where a new route should run. A retailer is assessing where to open its next branch. A manufacturer wants to know whether enough workers, suppliers and customers exist within a reasonable distance. A ministry must determine which communities need more schools, health services, drainage or support for older people.
Every decision begins with the same question: what is actually happening and where?
When the answer is incomplete, even good intentions can be directed to the wrong place. Resources are spread too thinly; businesses invest with greater uncertainty and public programmes are designed around averages that may conceal very different community realities.
That is why Trinidad and Tobago’s next Population and Housing Census should be viewed as more than a national headcount. It can become the country’s economic operating system: the shared, trusted foundation on which government, business and communities make better decisions.
From productivity to intelligence
In my previous article, I argued that T&T must convert effort into outcomes. The next step is to improve the information behind those efforts. Productivity depends not only on working faster but also on knowing where needs exist, which interventions work and how conditions change over time.
The last census, completed in 2011, counted 1,328,019 people. The Central Statistical Office’s latest mid-year estimate places the population at 1,367,764 as at June 2025, a net increase of 39,745, or about three per cent, over fourteen years.
Within that estimate are important signals. There are 281,598 people aged under 15, 963,579 between 15 and 64, and 122,587 aged 65 and over. Older people, therefore, represent almost nine per cent of the population, while children account for approximately one-fifth. These proportions shape demand for healthcare, pensions, schools, housing, transport, technology and financial services.
International estimates also demonstrate why a new national benchmark matters. UNData places T&T’s 2025 population at 1.511 million, approximately 143,000 above the CSO estimate. The figures use different methods, so the gap does not prove that either institution is wrong. It shows how modelled international estimates and national projections can diverge as the underlying census benchmark ages.
A modern foundation is being built
Encouragingly, the next census is already being prepared as a more digital exercise. In January, the CSO began a nationwide Geospatial Data Update Exercise, using trained field teams to collect location and attribute information on every building, household, business, institution and agricultural holding.
This is an important modernisation. The planned census combines online self-enumeration with tablet-assisted interviews for people who cannot participate online. It moves the country beyond a mainly paper-based approach and creates the possibility of faster processing, more accurate mapping and richer community-level analysis.
The mixed approach is sensible. International Telecommunication Union data indicate that 82.2 per cent of people in T&T used the internet in 2024. Digital participation can therefore improve convenience and reduce processing time, but it cannot be the only route. Field support remains essential for older citizens, people with disabilities, households with limited connectivity and anyone who needs assistance.
The opportunity, however, is not simply to conduct a digital census. It is to build a national data asset that remains useful after Census Day.
The business value of better data
For business, reliable census information reduces uncertainty. An investor considering a BPO operation needs to understand workforce availability, educational attainment, commuting patterns and digital access. A food manufacturer needs insight into household consumption, retail demand, transportation connections and agricultural activity. A bank needs to identify communities where households and small enterprises remain underserved.
Export development also benefits. Detailed information on occupations, skills, home-based businesses and clusters of economic activity can help identify firms capable of entering supply chains or moving into regional markets. Tobago requires sufficiently detailed information to support decisions suited to its distinct economy, rather than relying only on national averages.
Better information does not replace entrepreneurial judgment. It strengthens it. In a competitive investment environment, countries that can provide credible, current and geographically specific intelligence make it easier for investors to move from interest to decision.
For trade and investment promotion, this is practical infrastructure. A credible location profile can shorten investor due diligence, reveal labour pools, identify supplier networks and help local companies understand where domestic demand could support the scale required for export.
The public sector gains the same advantage. Geospatial census data can help align roads, public transport, schools, clinics, emergency shelters, water infrastructure and social programmes with the communities that use them. It can also improve the sampling frames for the labour force, household and business surveys that keep national statistics current between censuses.
Capturing the data dividend
To produce the greatest return, the census should lead to a National Data Dividend built around five commitments.
First, publish with speed and predictability. Before enumeration begins, the CSO could issue a public release calendar covering preliminary population totals, core demographic tables, community profiles and specialised reports. A census creates the most value when users know what will be released and when.
Second, make local information easy to use. Interactive maps and dashboards should allow citizens, businesses and planners to examine anonymised indicators by municipality, community and enumeration district. Users should not require specialist statistical software to answer practical questions about population, housing, employment or access to services.
Third, design data for responsible reuse. Downloadable tables, consistent geographic codes and secure application programming interfaces would allow universities, entrepreneurs and agencies to build planning tools without exposing personal information. The objective is open statistics, not open personal records.
Fourth, connect the census to continuous measurement. Births, deaths, construction, business registrations and other administrative records can help update statistical estimates between censuses, under clear legal, technical and ethical safeguards. The census would remain the benchmark, while trusted administrative data would help the national picture stay current.
Fifth, build a culture of application. Government ministries, local authorities, the THA, universities, business associations and development agencies could participate in data
laboratories focused on real national problems. Teams might use census findings to redesign a transport route, identify an enterprise cluster, target skills training or improve disaster planning. Success should be measured by decisions improved, costs avoided and services better targeted.
Trust is the operating licence. None of this works without public confidence. The 2011 census achieved an 89 per cent response rate, demonstrating substantial participation while leaving room to reach more people. Citizens must understand what is being collected, why it matters, how it will be protected and when they
will see the results.
The CSO has emphasised confidentiality, professional ethics and the exclusive use of individual information for statistical purposes. Its current field arrangements include identifiable staff and channels through which the public can verify enumerators. These protections should be reinforced through sustained public education, transparent cybersecurity standards and regular communication with communities.
Trust also requires visible reciprocity. People are more likely to provide information when they can see it returned as useful knowledge. Community profiles, accessible dashboards and clear examples of data improving services can transform the census from a government request into a national partnership.
A country that knows itself
The Government’s investment in geospatial updating and digital enumeration provides a strong starting point. The next ambition should be to ensure that the resulting information flows into everyday planning, investment facilitation and enterprise development.
A census cannot solve congestion, ageing, housing shortages, skills mismatches or uneven development by itself. It can tell us where those challenges are concentrated, how they overlap and whether our responses are producing results.
That is the data dividend: not more numbers for their own sake, but less guesswork, better targetting and stronger confidence in national decisions.
T&T’s next census should count every person, but its legacy should be larger. It should help us see every community more clearly, deploy every public dollar more intelligently and present every investment opportunity more credibly.
A country that understands itself can plan with greater precision, compete with greater confidence and build a future in which development reaches the people and places that need it most.
Kirk Rampersad can be contacted via email: kirkram@hotmail.com or connect on linkedin.com/in/kirk-rampersad-mba-5ab579268
