A little over one year ago, on September 8, 2010, Finance Minister Winston Dookeran stood up in Parliament during his presentation of the 2011 budget and proposed a resolution of what he described as the Clico fiasco that involved paying off the holders of short-term insurance policies and mutual funds whose investments exceeded $75,000 by way of "a Government IOU amortised over 20 years at zero interest." The proposal, which would have resulted in the large investors in Clico and British American being paid in equal annual instalments at zero interest rate over 20 years, would have meant a "haircut" of about 35 per cent for all those holders of short-term policies and mutual funds seeking to redeem their investments immediately. It is safe to say that Minister Dookeran's original proposal, which was part of the budget package that received unanimous approval from Parliament, did not find favour with a significant percentage of the holders of Clico and British American short-term policies and mutual funds.
Many of those with a vested interest in the policies or mutual funds would have described as confiscatory and penurious the Government's combination of ceasing the payment of interest on the Executive Flexible Premium Annuities along with a payoff over 20 years at no interest (with a 35 per cent discount for immediate cash). It appears that the Government was not completely deaf to the pleas of the policyholders and it would eventually have come to the realisation that T&T's financial system would never regain complete stability without a resolution to this issue that was more acceptable to a majority of the holders of Clico and British American policies and mutual funds. In tabling the Purchase of Certain Rights and Validation Bill in Parliament on Wednesday, Mr Dookeran may finally have come up with a formula that a majority of those with money invested in the two failed insurance companies may be able to live with.
In effect, Mr Dookeran's new proposal combines the main elements of his original proposal with an idea that was first floated in the pages of the Business Guardian.
The investors will receive a combination of zero-coupon bonds (which they will be able to cash in immediately, receiving 80 per cent) and shares in what is being called NEL 2, an investment holding company whose main underlying asset will be Clico's 51.7 million Republic Bank shares. It is estimated that the Clico investors will receive full recovery (100 per cent) of their investment related to NEL 2 and when combined with the 80 per cent from the bonds, the total received would be upwards of 90 per cent.
In explaining the proposal, Mr Dookeran said: "Investors who continue to receive annual 20-year bonds, the facilities for discounting their bonds of maturity up to ten years will remain unchanged.
"It is expected that the discounting rate would be in the order of 80 cents (on every dollar), resulting in a haircut for the first ten years of 20 per cent. "Bonds with a maturity of 11 to 20 years may be exchanged for units in NEL 2 at a rate of dollar for dollar. "This means that the total return for the investor would comprise 80 cents (on the dollar) on bonds with maturity from one to ten years and 100 cents on the dollar for the longer-term bonds through the NEL 2 mechanism. "On this basis the average return would be in the order of 92 cents on the dollar, a significant increase over the 67 cents on the dollar implied by the original plan."
There is no doubt that a return of 92 cents on each dollar of investment, while it represents a loss to investors, is a superior offer to the return of 65 cents on the dollar originally envisaged by the Minister of Finance. Mr Dookeran needs to ensure that the details of this proposal are properly communicated to the population and that all of the possible policyholder questions will be answered.
