All political focus will be on Tobago for the next 68 days, at which time the Tobago House of Assembly election is scheduled to take place, on January 21. Each election, be it THA or the general election, is always described as the most important or some similar description. However, the upcoming polls can be truly said to be crucial for the political lives of some of the major players this time round.
Arguably the party to suffer the most if it should lose on the night of January 21 is the incumbent People's National Movement, which has held on to the assembly for the past three four-year terms. The PNM lost the May 24, 2010, general election to the newly assembled People's Partnership led by now Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar. The party suffered another humiliating defeat in the subsequent local government elections in Trinidad.
So one can hardly disagree with the Ashworth Jack-led Opposition party, the Tobago Organisation of the People, which is asserting that this will be a make or break exercise for the PNM particularly in the island. The PNM of course would not be destroyed as a political entity but its attractiveness as an organisation to once more govern T&T will be brought under even more serious scrutiny.
Depending on the results, some serious mud will have been thrown in the face of THA Chief Secretary Orville London and to a lesser extent the PNM's leader Dr Keith Rowley, who has taken over the party at a time when it is said that members' loyalty is divided between himself and former leader Patrick Manning.
Leading the charge against the PNM is the TOP, while a third party in the race is the Platform of Truth, led by a former Chief Secretary, Hochoy "Heavy Roller" Charles. I am tempted to comment on this very dark horse's entry into the fray, but I shall temper this by recalling the words of former PNM Minister Kamaluddin Mohammed, who once said that a "G"-class horse has no right in an "A"-class race.
The Orville London-led PNM won eight of the assembly's 12 seats in the last poll and the TOP, which no doubt will be assisted by functionaries of the People's Partnership government, of which TOP is an integral member, took the remaining four.
The assembly, which got its life in 1980 with the passage of the relevant legislation, has come a long way since then. At the beginning secretaries made around $1,900 a month even though they had no legislative powers to perform the roles that they are doing now, such as policymaking.
"Cabinet" members (of the THA) if you please. Today they receive $20,000 together with perks such as travelling and housing allowances. Interestingly, even though the PNM has ruled the assembly for most of the time since 1980, the upgrading of salaries and increases of the THA annual budget from central government were made either under the NAR regime or the UNC administration.
If Jack's TOP should topple PNM (it is reasonable to expect he would become the next Chief Secretary) his salary automatically jumps from $13,000 to that of a junior minister in Trinidad-$20,000-plus, except he also has an official security detail and residence.
Until the parties actually hit the campaign trail we will not know the full extent of their respective attacks, but already they are signalling what they will be; the PNM is sticking to its stance that it has performed very well over the last four years and will be pointing to most of its achievements like development of the physical infrastructure of the island.
On the other hand the TOP will be hammering the PNM for its alleged wastage of taxpayers' money and has already drawn up a long list of incomplete projects or large cost overruns on some of these projects to boost its claim that it would perform better than the PNM.
POT is going to argue that both PNM and TOP are bad medicines for whatever ailments Tobago is suffering. I have always enjoyed covering elections in Tobago and you can bet because of what the stakes are in this particular election I will be most prominent in the front row taking in all the action, which promises to be more exciting than before. So as they say: Camera, lights, action!
