Neither the previous administration nor this one has made any effort to sell either Republic Bank or Methanol Holdings-although this is specifically spelt out in the MoU and enforced in the Shareholders' Agreement that the Government signed with CL Financial in June 2009. At yesterday's trading on the local stock market, the 83.7 million Republic Bank shares held by CL Financial entities was worth $6.7 billion.
Foreign analysts who have looked at this situation have concluded that a "strategic" sale of a controlling stake in Republic Bank (CL Financial currently controls 52.3 per cent of the bank) would allow the sellers "to capitalise on a control premium from potential buyers." The book value of 56.5 per cent of Methanol Holdings held by Clico was placed at $4.37 billion in November 2009-and this was before the commissioning of the seven-plant AUM complex or the sharp escalation in the world market price of methanol. According to the MoU, the proceeds from the sale of the CL Financial assets in Republic Bank, Methanol Holdings, CMMB and "all and any of their other assets" was meant to have been "applied to satisfy the Statutory Fund requirements for Clico and BA under the Insurance Act, 1980 and the balancing of the third-party assets and liabilities portfolio of CIB."
This approach of selling the CL Financial assets and returning the proceeds to the statutory funds of Clico and BA has found favour with neither the current nor the previous administration. The current administration has put forward a proposal to pay off those Clico and BA policyholders with investments of more than $75,000 with zero-coupon bonds for 20 years. Government spokesmen have said that the arrangements to pay the policyholders will be in place by Carnival. At that time, it is assumed that the Government will embark on a public relations programme aimed at explaining the pros and cons of its proposal. When it does, we recommend that some time be taken to explain why the proposal outlined in the MoU, which was sanctified in the Shareholders' Agreement, was found to be an inadequate solution to what has become a protracted and costly problem.
