The decision by veteran politician Rawle Raphael and the executive of the Lopi-not/Bon Air West constituency of the Congress of the People to resign and head towards assimilation within the United National Congress is a sign of further decline in the party which touted "new politics." At the same time the evidence of the UNC's all-dominating power within the coalition must make political analysts wonder if the PP can continue to be referred to as a "coalition." The back and forth between the UNC and the COP over the Marlene Coudray mayorship is one thing; but this wholesale departure of a constituency executive has the potential to leave the COP further without political clothes and naked in the wind as the UNC takes complete control.
The question is: could the withdrawal of the former COP executive in that crucial Lopinot/Bon Air West seat be a pattern for executives in other COP-held constituencies? Other COP members may now believe that the COP ship will ultimately sink so they may as well take up their political bundle and leave. If the fallout happens over another couple of constituencies that will surely be the end of the ambition of "new politics," constitutional reform and the many other progressive manifesto proposals which are said to have been drafted by the COP. Ironically enough, the departure of the Lopinot/Bon Air executive is said to have been in part due to the desire of the executive to bring about a COP proposal on the right of constituents to recall a non-performing MP. Beyond the specifics of conflict over one policy or the other, the possibility of unstoppable decline in the COP setting in will come as a major disappointment for those who had hoped for a transformation in the politics.
There have been several attempts over the last two decades to bring elements of the body politic that are not supportive of the People's National Movement into working and lasting relationships. Such groups may now conclude that is an impossible goal. Triumphant UNC members may very well interpret what has happened and what could happen elsewhere as a plus for their party. They must be relishing the thought of an all-dominating UNC preparing for the next general election; perhaps not even concerning itself with whether or not the UNC will continue to have the support of the Tobago Organisation of the People. However, the present ascendancy of the UNC could turn out to be a pyrrhic victory, as elements of the support base of the COP begin to recoil from the prospect of a UNC government without the restraining principles and institutional structures which the COP has attempted to bring to the coalition grouping.
Meanwhile, looking on are those who were not true supporters of either the UNC or the COP, but felt there was a possibility that the coalition could bring meaningful change from the straight UNC vs PNM politics of the past.
That element of the electorate must sure-ly be wondering whether another experiment in bringing rival political communi- ties together in the national interest has worked. Such disappointed activists and voters may withdraw once more, perhaps permanently, from party politics. If that were to happen it would be sad for the country as the skills, energy and, perhaps most importantly, desire for meaningful co-operation of all the tribes could dissipate and be lost for another genera-tion.
