A debate is underway in this oil- and gas-producing country of ours, and has been so for some time, as to whether the "subsidy" citizens are afforded should be reduced or eliminated altogether. While we debate, the subsidy for premium gas has already been reduced, and the omen is that subsidy reduction could become an across-the-board measure affecting all types of fuel sometime in the not-too-distant future.
While a lot of our economic brains see the logic of bringing an end to our gas subsidy, we should take heed of the logic of former Nigerian petroleum minister Prof Tam David-West, which is an interesting contradiction to what is emerging from our own think tank on the matter. Put bluntly, David-West says, "Coming to petroleum, there is no oil subsidy. Oil subsidy in Nigeria is a fiction; it doesn't exist; it is a fraud!"
To further explain his point on what is a subsidised item, David-West says that if gari (a Nigerian staple made from cassava tubers and produced in Nigeria) is sold for Nigerian 10 cents but because of a poor crop one year Nigeria had to import it for say 20 cents and then sold it back to the Nigerian people for 10 cents, then the government could rightly claim it was subsidising gari to the tune of 10 cents.
David-West, therefore, rejects the idea that an item such as oil that is produced in Nigeria could rightly be regarded as subsidised because foreign companies are refining it and then returning it to Nigeria to sell it at a higher price. Under his watch as minister, he boasted he established three refineries so that this kind of exploitation did not occur and the idea of a subsidy was an an irrelevant factor in the price equation.
David-West, however, did not limit his analysis to just the gas price and subsidy, but he also expressed his views on the political ramifications of taking away the subsidy in Nigeria. He said, "No government should exist if it can't serve the people, because government is a trust."
He went on to quote Edmund Burke who said that government is a contrivance of human wisdom, and that wisdom should be used to satisfy the people's needs. Any government that can't satisfy the needs of the people is irrelevant and must be overthrown and kicked out.
Right next door to us is Venezuela, the country known worldwide as the land of 12-cent gas. When Chávez first came to power in 1999, the gas price was already at 12 cents. Now in his fourth term, Chávez has refused all suggestions that he does something about the 11 billion-dollar-a-year subsidy that his people enjoy.
Gas is actually cheaper than water and milk in Venezuela, but what tempers presidential interference in that sector is that the last time it was just reported that the subsidy was to be reduced in 1989, thousands of Venezuelans died as a result of rioting that followed the news.
It is one thing to see issues from a purely economic viewpoint, but every government must also be forever cognisant of the human factor, of the possible hardships that its citizens might endure based on its decisions, of the political consequences.
T&T has a record-breaking number of cars on its roads for the simple reason that for decades under the previous regimes an adequate, reliable transportation system was never developed. New York's subway system could charge US$2 for a token that allows one to travel from one end of it to the next. Because of the convenience of taking the train in NY, because of its reliability, the millionaires and billionaires of the city park their cars and head for the subway.
We have nothing to compare with such a public service luxury, and so while we try to get there, no government should see the car-owning citizenry as enemies of the State and so view higher gas prices to them as something they deserve; that it good for them; why they had to go buy a car.
While we try to balance the economics, we should take Chávez's mortal fear of interfering with his country's cheap gas and David-West's warning on the matter: "When the poor man weeps, the tears go to heaven and come down with burning fire and consume his enemies; and that is what will happen (in Nigeria) if the gas subsidy is removed."
Possibly also subscribing to that fear are the Iranians and Saudis whose gas prices are 40 and 44 cents per gallon, respectively. In these countries, the citizens consider cheap gas a right, not a privilege.
L Siddhartha Orie
via e-mail
