If TT upsets its Caricom partners, it could very difficult not just to expand, but to simply sell into markets that companies and individuals have spent a lifetime building relationships with, says Independent Senator Francis Lewis.
And Lewis also warns that hard times are coming for TT and Parliamentarians should have an "All Of Country" approach.
“Lemme tell you, like (hurricane) Melissa, the storm coming! “Lewis declared in Monday’s Senate debate of the 2026 Budget.
In analysis of the UNC Government’s 2026 Budget - good, mid level and points of concern - Lewis, a Harvard graduate and longstanding business strategist, said he'd examined what would move the economy.
“We have to refocus the energy sector, I've been sent at least three, four emails about the recent announcement from the Venezuelan officials. That's going to have to be redone,” Lewis added.
Lewis said non-energy manufacturing moved from 11 percent to 17 percent, “And it's relying largely on the Caricom trade,”
“All I'll ask is, as we take whatever actions we need to take, or the Government believes they need to take, if we upset our Caricom partners ,we could find it very difficult, not just to expand, but to simply sell into markets,"he added.
Lewis added, “All I’m asking is that as we do whatever the Government thinks they need to do, be very conscious that not too far away - and (remember) the way it was described to me by someone in the sector. He said, 'But for an accident of birth, I’m Trinidadian. But my market is all of Caricom in the first instance’,”
The person didn’t think of Caricom as an export market, Lewis added, but Caricom is his market, he travelled easily across the region and had relationships with people going back 20 years.
Lewis noted the person had said, “If you 'monkey-pants' that, all of my business is going to stop or be severely constrained,”
He also said number of people who didn’t vote or spoilt their ballot in the April general election is significantly larger than either of the parties that won seats in Parliament, “Those people’s voices need to be heard..not just through me but through all of us,” he stressed.
Lewis said ,”How do we move, given the contributions of my colleagues, given the volatility and uncertainty and given the need to be agile.”
Suggesting a central theme of the Budget be “Together we aspire, together we achieve”, Lewis added, “The behaviours I’ve seen: it is one thing to have banter but at some time we need an all of country approach!”
“We have hard times coming! There is going to be difficulty ! We need to be better than some of the conflicts I’ve seen!,”
“I understand there are partisan interests, that parties matter in our system and you have to win an election. But my concern is how do we move from campaigning to governing..."
“But how do we prepare the population for what is to come and lemme tell yuh- like (hurricane) Melissa - the storm coming! We have the capacity to deal with it…our forefathers have prepared us and this economy,” Lewis added, underscoring how Members work together in the Senate and how their behaviour translates into how they find common cause.
"keep devaluation on the table"
Concerned about the Budget's energy price basis, Lewis said everything he’d read suggests there will be expansion of energy production over the next several years and likelihood that prices will drop.
He said if Government overpriced or overestimated revenue ,”You going and ketch hell- we the country are going to ketch hell because you’re going to have revenue shortfall you should have anticipated.”
Lewis said the deficits would also put pressure on the Government and country and the cost of servicing the external loans will create other pressures. He also wasn’t sure that dealing with the foreign exchange issue had arisen.
“It's a burning issue. The sense I have is our economic fundamentals - particularly foreign exchange- are out of kilter. That has to be fixed. I’m not advocating devaluation but it should not be off the table,” Lewis added noting he was there when TT had a 35 percent devaluation in 1991.
"That set the stage for success through the 1990s. Will it cause hardship? Probably yes . I'm not advocating for it, but it cannot be taken off the table because you've gotta get the thing balanced. Right now we 're out of balance, it's reflected throughout the economy..."
Lewis said he'd seen a lot less focus in the Budget on revenue generation. "You cannot spend what you don’t have! ” he added.
Lewis queried whether Government would have a minister focusing on revenue generation or a Revenue Ministry, "Because as the world environment changes I suspect we’re going to have less money to spend. That means increased pressure for allocations and cash flow If this Government doesn’t reshape this economy, you’d have lost a golden opportunity. The Budget gives you half a step."
