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Another ‘Daybreak’ awaits eager punters

Friday, December 1, 2017

Daybreak is marginally ‘best-in’ for division one of a Novice Stakes over six furlongs of Lingfield polytrack today, according to BHA ratings and, most importantly, my time-handicap.

Obviously an 88-days absence could be a concern for punters, who will also notice one of seven rivals is a previous winner, The Mums, trained by John Gosden!,

So many considerations sway choices fortunately our method is definitive, one-dimensional to an extent, which has certainly produced the goods for decades; this month has been tremendous even though I’ve hit the woodwork a time or two in quest for big-priced ‘beauts!’

Winning is all about prices; my modus operandi concentrates on ‘not losing’ and often shoring up with ‘shorties’ to prevent losses but, when the chance comes, it’s necessary to open up and spread my wings. You can’t attempt to hit a boundary off a good ball, ‘let the ball come on to the bat’ explains it in cricketing terms.

Hughie Morrison is an astute trainer, has good reasons for everything and after Daybreak was a beaten-favourite last time you can he ‘took stock’ knowing a patient approach would be beneficial. That is usually the case.

The Mums isn’t a ‘runner’ as such but Azpietia and recent Doncaster second, Lady Willpower, are likely to be ‘on the premises’ for what is a competitive dash; the latter didn’t appear to get home over this trip three weeks ago under Jason Hart and capable 7lbs apprentice, William Cox, is booked.

‘Top-weights in nurseries when ground conditions are good or better...’ was my advice back forty-two years ago, in the William Hill Year-book; many have latched onto it as a successful system since and we have a couple of ‘qualifiers’ in respective two-year-old handicaps over seven and six furlongs respectively, Zaltash and Mother Of Dragons.

‘On the back of a ‘career-best’ effort two weeks back Richard Hannon-trained Zaltash looks a real ‘beaut’ under regular stable jockey Tom Marquand and is napped to finally get off the mark; ‘junior’ has done so well since taking over from ‘the old man’ who always concentrated on Autumn nurseries and plundered. Yes the ‘silver spoon’ is being kept polished.

Mother Of Dragons has rediscovered her best form and under extremely proficient, Nicola Currie, who also claims full apprentice allowance, must be worth supporting.

Good-looking bets which should realise oneor two boundaries!


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