NEW YORK–As drivers, shippers and airlines continue to enjoy lower fuel prices, the oil industry is responding to much lower profits with sharp cuts in spending and employment that are hurting economic growth.
Low oil and gas prices are good for the overall economy because they reduce costs for consumers and business. US economic growth was higher in the second quarter, and economists say that was partly fueled by consumers spending some of their savings on gasoline at stores and restaurants.
But with oil prices down around 50 per cent from last year, major oil companies are cutting back, offsetting some of this good news. For instance, Exxon Mobil said yesterday it cut spending by US$1.54 billion in the second quarter, while Chevron announced it is laying off 1,500 workers. Until about six months ago, booming US oil and gas production was helping the country's economy grow during a time of economic sluggishness.
David Kelly, chief global strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management, said this week that a US$29 billion decline in oil exploration and mining activity in the US cut economic growth by 0.7 per cent in the second quarter, a sizable chunk for an economy that grew 2.3 per cent.
Investors also feel the pain. Lower oil profits have an outsized effect on stock markets because the companies are so enormous. Analysts at RBC Capital Markets wrote that when oil prices drop by ten per cent, earnings for the overall S&P 500 fall by one per cent.
Industry layoffs seem to be accelerating. Royal Dutch Shell, while announcing Thursday that profits fell 25 per cent in the second quarter, said it would cut its global workforce by 6,500. Chevron's quarterly profit fell 90 per cent and CEO John Watson said the company is reducing its workforce "to reflect lower activity levels going forward."
Layoffs at three of the big oil and gas service companies are near 60,000 after two of them, Halliburton and Baker Hughes, revealed further layoffs in quarterly filings last week.
BP CFO Brian Gilvary told investors Thursday that the company has been cutting workers "and I think you'll see more of that before we get to the end of the year." BP's oil and gas profit dropped 64 per cent from April through June.
Exxon Mobil's profit fell by half, to its lowest level since the recession of 2009, the company said Friday. Its operations in the US–the centre of the global oil and gas boom–posted its second straight quarterly loss.
"The surprise really was here in the US," said Brian Youngberg, an analyst at Edward Jones.
Shares of Exxon and Chevron, both components of the 20-member Dow Jones Industrial Average, fell four per cent yesterday after they announced results.
The companies are in some ways victims of their own success. A surge in oil and gas production brought on by technological advances and high prices in recent years has flooded the market, sending global prices sharply lower. (AP)