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Tuesday, July 8, 2025

Nationally Determined Contributions under the Paris Agreement

by

Bavina Sookdeo
1257 days ago
20220128

To fight cli­mate change, we have to ac­tu­al­ly take ac­tion. Not just sign­ing treaties, or mak­ing promis­es, but to re­al­ly do some­thing we need a con­cen­trat­ed ef­fort to make na­tion­al pol­i­cy frame­works, and ac­tive­ly fol­low through with the ac­tiv­i­ties they rec­om­mend.

This is the premise that the orig­i­nal 2015 Paris Agree­ment was built on. It is un­der­stood that as a glob­al com­mu­ni­ty, we face cli­mate change and its hor­rors to­geth­er. Cli­mate change is no joke, with in­creas­ing­ly hot­ter tem­per­a­tures, work­ing out­doors has be­come more dif­fi­cult for many na­tions around the world, seas con­tin­ue to rise due to melt­ing ice sheets, con­sum­ing beach­es and threat­en­ing homes. Storms are be­com­ing more fre­quent and in­creas­ing­ly in­tense with waves surg­ing in­land caus­ing mas­sive eco­nom­ic loss­es.

These stark re­al­i­ties are pre­cise­ly why it’s so im­por­tant that coun­tries around the world do their bit to push back on con­di­tions that ac­cel­er­ate cli­mate change. The Paris Agree­ment is the world's first in­ter­na­tion­al agree­ment that re­quires all sig­na­to­ry na­tions to cut green­house gas emis­sions linked to cli­mate change and all of its dev­as­tat­ing im­pacts.

The Paris Agree­ment is am­bi­tious so it needs mech­a­nisms to keep sig­na­to­ry coun­tries on track with their com­mit­ments. One of the ear­ly tasks re­quired by the Agree­ment was set­ting Na­tion­al­ly De­ter­mined Con­tri­bu­tions or NDC's. These are tar­gets that each sig­na­to­ry state must sub­mit to the UN every five years for re­duc­ing their na­tion­al green­house gas emis­sions; each suc­ces­sive NDC is ex­pect­ed to rep­re­sent more emis­sion re­duc­tions. T&T rat­i­fied the Paris Agree­ment in 2018, but even be­fore then the Min­istry of Plan­ning and De­vel­op­ment’s cli­mate change ex­perts be­gan quan­ti­fy­ing our out­put of green­house gas­es and chart­ing a plan to re­duce those emis­sions by 2030.

In T&T our main emit­ters of green­house gas­es such as car­bon diox­ide, ni­trous ox­ide and methane come from three sec­tors; in­dus­try, pow­er gen­er­a­tion and trans­port. Trinidad and To­ba­go's cur­rent Na­tion­al­ly De­ter­mined Con­tri­bu­tion is a com­mit­ment to re­duce col­lec­tive and cu­mu­la­tive emis­sions from those three sec­tors by 15% by 2030.

In­dus­try which in­cludes man­u­fac­tur­ing and the en­er­gy, pow­er gen­er­a­tion and petro­chem­i­cal sec­tors will have to achieve emis­sions re­duc­tion through mea­sures such as im­proved en­er­gy con­ser­va­tion and adop­tion of re­new­able en­er­gy like so­lar and wind, as well as ad­dress­ing emis­sions aris­ing from in­dus­tri­al process­es them­selves. The pow­er gen­er­a­tion sec­tor's plan for re­duc­tion in­cludes in­creased use of re­new­able en­er­gy and more en­er­gy ef­fi­cient pow­er gen­er­a­tion. This in­volves up­grades to tur­bines that use both gas and steam to gen­er­ate elec­tric­i­ty, re­duc­ing re­liance on nat­ur­al gas by as much as 50%. Al­so, hav­ing con­sumers pay the true cost of elec­tric­i­ty forms part of the over­all ap­proach to en­er­gy con­ser­va­tion. It's an im­por­tant step to­wards get­ting home­own­ers to be more mind­ful of how they use elec­tric­i­ty. Re­new­able en­er­gy can be a cheap­er al­ter­na­tive, but in the in­ter­im tran­si­to­ry pe­ri­od, while our coun­try builds up the ca­pac­i­ty to tran­si­tion ful­ly to these modes of en­er­gy pro­duc­tion and in­fra­struc­ture, cer­tain sac­ri­fices would have to be made. In the trans­porta­tion sec­tor, re­duc­tions in emis­sions are ex­pect­ed to come from the pro­mo­tion of al­ter­na­tive fu­els such as com­pressed nat­ur­al gas (CNG) but CNG is still a tran­si­tion­al fos­sil fu­el, al­beit with low­er green­house gas emis­sions. Tru­ly emis­sions-free trans­porta­tion will come in the form of elec­tric ve­hi­cles charged with elec­tric­i­ty gen­er­at­ed by re­new­able en­er­gy. In the pub­lic trans­porta­tion sec­tor, the tar­get is to re­duce emis­sions by 30% by 2030.

Im­ple­ment­ing our NDC tar­gets, though, will cost an es­ti­mat­ed two bil­lion US for the 15 % re­duc­tion in emis­sions from in­dus­try, pow­er gen­er­a­tion and trans­port. At the COP26 this year, our cur­rent Prime Min­is­ter, Kei­th Row­ley, not­ed the ex­pense that some­thing like this can cost for an econ­o­my like ours in the short term. How­ev­er, the longer term ef­fects and dam­ages that are al­ready ex­pect­ed to oc­cur due to cli­mate change is worth the tran­si­to­ry pains. That fi­nan­cial goal can in­clude ac­cess­ing ex­ter­nal fi­nanc­ing from in­ter­na­tion­al fund­ing agen­cies like the Green Cli­mate Fund. The 30% re­duc­tion in emis­sions from pub­lic trans­port mean­while, is ex­pect­ed to be fi­nanced with na­tion­al re­sources. Un­der the Paris Agree­ment, T&T's next set of NDC tar­gets are meant to be even more am­bi­tious than the ex­ist­ing goals. This is be­cause the world has ac­knowl­edged through the Paris Agree­ment that lim­it­ing glob­al warm­ing to be­low 1.5 de­grees Cel­sius is ab­solute­ly crit­i­cal.

Meet­ing our tar­gets is on­ly go­ing to hap­pen by close­ly fol­low­ing the NDC im­ple­men­ta­tion plan as well as tak­ing ad­van­tage of tech­no­log­i­cal op­por­tu­ni­ties as they be­come avail­able. The NDC im­ple­men­ta­tion plan lists the ac­tions re­quired in dif­fer­ent sec­tors, the agen­cies re­spon­si­ble for co­or­di­nat­ing emis­sions re­duc­tion projects and says how long each ac­tiv­i­ty should take. Re­duc­ing emis­sions is para­mount to se­cur­ing our fu­ture. The NDC plan is our way of achiev­ing it. All our fu­ture gen­er­a­tions de­pend on how well we and the rest of the world bring the am­bi­tions of the cli­mate treaty forged in Paris in­to re­al­i­ty. Avert­ing a hot­ter, dri­er fu­ture be­gins with the ac­tions of to­day.


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