“One must beware of ministers who can do nothing without money, and those who want to do everything with money.”—Indira Gandhi
Economics is about scarcity and choice. Resources are always limited relative to the range of spending options. To maximise the return, one must make the best choice. Choosing the best opportunity involves an opportunity cost, that is the loss of the benefit that could have been enjoyed if the alternative were chosen. In a choice between two competing alternatives A and B, if one chooses alternative A, then one loses the benefit of B. It is presumed that A gives a better return than B.
This theory is simple in its explanation, but complex in its practical application. How does the Government (Cabinet) set priorities to guide budget expenditures? The assumption is that choices are made in the national interest. Moreover, governments can increase spending by borrowing, burdening future generations if the choices are poor. Too much borrowing gets governments into trouble.
Currently, subsidies and transfers account for roughly 50 per cent of the annual budget though the dollar amount has decreased since 2014. Money spent on subsidies cannot be spent on development, health care, diversification, or maintenance, the opportunity cost problem. The finance minister has even misled at least one economist with the silly statement that he has “saved” $10 billion since coming into office. Reducing expenditure when there is no money to spend is not “saving”.
Ignoring social transfers, the most important subsidies account for approximately $5 billion. First, there is the electricity subsidy which is borne by NGC and is contributing to its losses. Second, the annual $2 billion subsidy to WASA which is paid by taxpayers. Third, the diesel subsidy benefits both personal and commercial transport. Fourth, other transportation subsidies include the sea and air bridges, water taxies, PTSC and waivers on the purchase of maxi-taxis et al. Fifth, LPG (cooking gas) is subsidised.
Setting meaningful priorities requires good economics and good politics. Reduced expenditures on subsidies and make-work programmes can hurt those on lower incomes. If expenditure cuts are to be accepted by citizens, they must believe and trust the perceived equity and transparency of the change. Everyone must be seen to give up something.
But this administration’s messaging has been mixed since 2015, uncommitted to the task of addressing basics. After alerting the country to the new reality, it has been looking back, blaming the UNC for its wastage. What is Cabinet doing to make the Government more efficient? Franklin Khan's statement that the possible rise in cooking gas is an attempt to wean the population off a dependency syndrome rings as hollow as Mr Imbert’s boast that they “haven’t riot yet.” What will Cabinet members and senior public servants give up?
Indeed, in addressing the foreign exchange crisis earlier this year the finance minister noted that devaluation was not an option since it did not improve government’s revenue. Devaluation is a tool to facilitate economic restructuring, not to increase government’s revenue. Meanwhile, the structural adjustment process continues naturally affecting many businesses and their employees as they adjust to lower demand.
Ministers blame the lack of money when challenged by demands for better delivery of public goods and services, especially since the decline of energy prices in 2014. Surely, restructuring WASA and replacing leaking pipelines or addressing the deficiencies in the current education programme are priorities?
But money was found to fund “other priorities.” Like buying two new ferries, building a new hospital, fire station, and police station in the disputed Tobago East constituency sacrificing national priorities on the altar of retaining political office with public money. Or initiating expenditure to facilitate a Toco port in time to “retain” the Sangre Grande seat in the national election. Or refurbishing the Prime Minister’s “new” residence in Tobago. Indeed, elections campaigns have become synonymous with road paving and the award of big contracts to favoured contractors and advertising firms.
Cabinet sets priorities and tasks the state apparatus (state enterprises and the public service) with implementing those priorities. It is Cabinet that decides how scarce resources (money) will be used, not public servants.
The priority now should be to improve the government’s operational efficiency and effectiveness by improving the public sector’s delivery capacity and the management of state enterprises. Public procurement accounts for a significant part of the national economy and must be subject to increased scrutiny, not more loopholes by weakening the Procurement Act. Money spent on vanity and self-interested pursuits is money taken away from fixing water lines or fixing health care.
Neither new buildings, nor new ministries will improve public service delivery. Giving an institution a new name, or a new coat of paint (CNMG to TTT, NHA to HDC, 3 TDCs) will not change the organisation’s elan or performance. What are the necessary steps required to improve service and delivery? Fixing the governance issues and addressing the people, process and system difficulties will improve service delivery. One does not need constitutional change to fix the Service Commissions. Service Commissions need management and resources.
Public resources must not be used to fund re-election bids and furthering political ambition. Government (Cabinet) must allocate funds in a manner that benefits citizens’ present and our future.