PETER CHRISTOPHER
Senior multimedia reporter
peter.christopher@guardian.co.tt
There is major concern about the economy heading into the 2025 election season.
This was one of the main takeaways from an economic pulse survey conducted by the American Chamber of Commerce in partnership with accounting firm EY.
"The vast majority of respondents are not confident about the economy in 2025. In fact, the numbers show an almost 180-degree turnaround in that regard from last year to this year. A significant proportion of those who are not confident, cited the lack of a clear development plan as one of the reasons for their concern," said Amcham T&T president Stuart Franco at the business group's Economic Forum 2025 held at the Hilton Trinidad yesterday.
"It is clear, therefore, especially as we enter an election year, that those aspiring to political office have to start talking about policy, with specifics, to identify how they propose to address the myriad of problems facing T&T. Two, our leaders need to find some common ground on key strategies that can lead to economic growth. And three, the business community needs to be more closely engaged as these plans are not only developed but also rolled out," said Franco.
Republic Bank economist Garvin Joefield also noted that the were several challenges facing the economy at the moment including crime, energy production levels and the foreign exchange situation.
Concerning the latter, Joefield felt most issues had been highlighted extensively, but he largely felt most of the focus regarding the foreign exchange challenge lingered in the short term.
"As it relates to the foreign exchange challenge, I think we have to remember that it is a long-term challenge and we can't keep trying to apply short-term solutions to it. The real long-term solution is diversification of the economy and diversification of the sources of foreign exchange," said Joefield.
Additionally he hoped the State of Emergency would bring tangible change to the crime situation as there was a telling effect on the economy.
"Security companies would benefit but the net effect of crime would likely be negative. As some businesses would also have to implement new measures to look after their staff, safety get them home and also run shorter shifts and thereby forego revenues and profits. It is in everyone's interests for us to urgently look after crime and it is my hope that the State of Emergency provides some momentum going forward in terms or quieting the scourge of crime, particularly violent crime," said Joefield, who stressed that other aspects of crime also impacted the economy.
He said, "But we also have to be mindful that we can't only look at crime because of the violent aspect of it because white collar crime is also hurtful to our economy. Fraud, and some millions of dollars that could be put to productive means we have to have a holistic view as it relates to crime and also a holistic view as it relates to the remedies of crime. So we have to go back to the basic things, ensuring people have opportunities not only as it relates to work but opportunities for equal access to the education system."