Has the Dr Keith Rowley administration pre-collapsed in office?
If so, what does it mean for the country, its economy, and most importantly, the ordinary citizens of T&T?
It has been four weeks since I last wrote in this space and during that time, a lot of things have happened that threaten to have fundamental short and long-term impacts on the people of T&T.
We have seen the effects of climate change, with significant flooding in many parts of the country caused by more intense rainfall and infrastructure that is broken and unable to cope with it.
Thousands of citizens were marooned in their homes, suffered the loss of or damage to property, were caught in traffic for hours trying to get home, and had to make alternative arrangements for their children who had to stay at home or those who remain cut off from a major part of the country, as is the case with the people of Mayaro.
During the last four weeks, T&T also surpassed its previous dubious record for murders as the killing spree continues.
Even as citizens kill one another, we have a Minister of National Security who seems to think he can convince the population he is up to the job by trying to baffle us with platitudes, saying a lot and nothing at the same time, reprieved to have been kept in the Cabinet by a Prime Minister who thinks moving a Minister of National Security would not help and instead the solution is for us to pray. We need fundamental change!
Meanwhile, the 70-plus-year-old Dr Rowley has again been re-elected as the leader of his political party, as he fancies his chances against another 70-plus political leader who avoids media scrutiny by rarely holding news conferences and only speaking at a Monday night forum that doesn’t often advance the national discourse.
As if not to be outdone, there are political jhanjhat in Tobago, with the Chief Secretary and his supporters leaving the political party on whose ticket they were elected to the THA, and appear to be playing out the old Dr Eric William’s adage that the alternative to the PNM is chaos and confusion.
Finally, the Government, after four years of negotiations, has signed an agreement to restructure Atlantic LNG. Again, it hides from the country the details of the restructuring.
There is, however, a promise of a more equitable take for the Government, but not a word on the reality that natural gas production is less than 75 per cent of installed capacity and therefore the country is leaking potential revenue from low production.
Yes, T&T is a country that operates at breakneck speed and it is hard to keep up with it.
Even as our infrastructure collapses, we are in a time of booming commodity prices and yet, with no boom in the economy, we keep holding onto hope that the energy sector will save us, citizens kill one another as businesses and individuals recoil in fear, and the Prime Minister remains silent, hidden away from the population.
He spends much of his time cloistered in Tobago with the rare appearance at a major business or political event or in Parliament.
The PM’s silence is deafening and his Ministers have taken an example from their leader. Does anyone know a timeline for the reconstruction of parts of the Manzanilla/Mayaro Road?
Does anyone know what will happen to the schoolchildren who use it? Does anyone know if the plan is to continue building box drains when climate change perhaps calls for a different engineering approach?
Does anyone know whether the Minister of Finance will continue to pretend that the economy has done well with a $1 billion fiscal surplus, when he owes contractors, businesses VAT refunds, subsidies to state enterprises and delays paying tax returns to individuals?
Prime Minister, the country is in trouble. We are running out of time to transform this economy and if you had any doubt about it, just look at your two-bid rounds—both of them have been spectacular failures.
As we enter the merry season, citizens cannot be drunken by a false sense of security that the wine will not run out. The challenge of transfers and subsidies cannot be ignored.
The failure to grasp the relatively low-hanging fruits of tourism, including a change to the law to allow foreign companies to own land in Tobago and invest in resorts and other types of developments, must be dealt with.
The lack of sufficient airlift out of North America and even within the region must not be ignored in such an exercise.
There must be an all of the above strategies in which we seek to continue the effort to increase exports of manufacturing goods but look for higher value manufacturing. That must mean a commitment to research and innovation.
The Government must commit and do what is necessary to increase the efficiency at the ports and digitise the economy.
There must be a clear focus and strategy for increasing oil and gas production and importantly increasing drilling.
The Minister of Everything must focus on his portfolio because, as was the case in National Security and Communications, he can point to very few tangible successes.
But as citizens, we must take a large part of the blame.
Politics demand that we insist on more from our leaders outside of the election period.
The country appears to have simply shrug its shoulders in the kind of quiet that usually precedes a wave of political discontent and change of the political elites. But that alone will not lead to the economic and social transformation needed.
I want to quote extensively from an article written by Lloyd Best. It was written in 1995 and titled No Party to vote for.
It is as relevant today as it was in 1995 because the body politic has not changed and unless this is altered, the economic limitations will remain, except this time there will not be oil and gas to keep us from falling over the proverbial precipice.
Best wrote: “Trinidadians and Tobagonians have no party to vote for. That is our crisis. Somehow, we have to create one. That is our challenge…Whatever the complexity or simplicity of the issue, they routinely reduce it to ‘race’ or ‘prejudice’ against Tobagonians Indians, Africans or women. They are aided and abetted by many who benefit from the status quo, educators, ‘letter writers, publishers, professors, pundits, and many other professionals.’”
And yet it would be plain wrong, and also unfair, to proceed as if our major problem is cynicism, cupidity, or corruption on the part of the numerous beneficiaries of the political status quo.
Above all, it would be counterproductive.
Not only would it be pointless, but also absurd to proceed as if the problem were the banditry and piracy that are everywhere at large.
If everybody is a bandit or a pirate, then nobody is. The problem is neither piracy nor banditry, nor is it the PNM corruption, the facile formulas the NAR tried to sell us in the 1986 campaign.
If corruption was as widespread as ANR Robinson, Karl Hudson Philip, and Patrick Solomon said, and quite possibly it was, then corruption could only have been a symptom of a disorder of a very different kind.
It is one thing to see that Patrick Manning, Ken Valley, Lenny Saith, along with Basdeo Panday, and Ramesh Lawrence Maharaj, are now completely discredited figures, much as Mr Robinson became after the NAR, and as Dr Williams was after the Black Power eruption against the black people party.
The discredit is real, enduring and instrumental. Indeed, it is irreversible, but it is simply not the whole story or the main story.
If all these leaders are repeatedly re-elected by the population, fall ritually into discredit, then the problem cannot be discredited. What we are up against is a problem of the system, which does not exonerate the personalities, but serves to focus our attention on what our current intervention must be.”
As we come to the end of the year as well I want to thank all of you who have given me the opportunity to share my thoughts over the last year.
I am forever indebted. It is you the readers who make all of the difference and it is you who must ensure we move away from the autopilot we are on as a country.
