In the May 29 edition of the Business Guardian, in this space, I wrote a commentary headlined, “Can Kamla expose ‘forex distribution cartel?” which addressed comments made at the post-Cabinet news conference on May 15 by Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar. At that news conference, Mrs Persad-Bissessar said that she had mandated three of her ministers—Minister of Finance, Davendradath Tancoo, Minister of Planning, Economic Affairs and Development, Kennedy Swaratsingh and Minister of Trade, Investment, and Tourism, Satyakama “Kama” Maharaj—to produce a report on foreign exchange distribution and leakage over the past 10 years.
The Prime Minister emphasised that she expected the report to focus on the formal distribution system of foreign exchange, but also on the “leakage” of foreign exchange from the formal distribution system, which she described as “a serious matter.”
She said that one of the concerns the current administration has heard from its supporters is the issue of foreign exchange availability.
“So we need to know where the forex went, to whom it went, why it went, how it went and how it was deployed, how it was used...Then this report, as I say, will be made public to identify the main users, the main facilitators of this unfair distribution, and explain to the public how this entire forex distribution cartel and conspiracy between certain operatives and businesses were functioning,” she said.
Now, it is clear to me that T&T’s Prime Minister deliberately used the words ‘cartel’ and ‘conspiracy’ to convey a negative narrative.
By definition, a cartel is “an association of manufacturers or suppliers with the purpose of maintaining prices at a high level and restricting competition,” and a conspiracy is “a secret plan by a group to do something unlawful or harmful.”
So by using the words “cartel” and “conspiracy,” Mrs Persad-Bissessar is, at the very least, suggesting that certain of T&T’s authorised foreign exchange dealers, which are mostly commercial banks, are providing some companies with access to foreign exchange in a way that is harmful to other businesses.
The Prime Minister, it seems, has already made up her mind that certain large companies in T&T are getting privileged foreign exchange access in a way that gives them a competitive advantage over other large and medium-sized companies. She is, in effect, accusing some unnamed authorised dealers of discriminating against certain businesses and favouring others.
While Mrs Persad-Bissessar sees cartel-like behaviour and conspiracies, I view the forex distribution issue in terms of relationships and the volume of business a company does with a bank. Explaining that by way of example: Take an import-export company that has been in existence for decades, which has over $1 billion in existing loans with a local commercial bank and that exports goods worth US$75 million a year, while importing goods worth US$150 million.
Compare that to a clothing retail company that has been in business for three years, has a $100,000 loan with the same bank and only imports goods for sale on the domestic market.
Two questions for readers:
* Which company do you think the manager of the bank is going to have a better relationship with and is more likely to accommodate when there is a request for foreign exchange?
* Given the two examples, which company should public policy enable to get continued access to foreign exchange...the small company that is only importing to sell on the local market or the large company that is earning foreign exchange by exports as well as importing to sell on the local market?
Such relationships between bankers and their best customers happen in most countries in the world and has happened throughout the history of banking.
In T&T in 2025, is it fair and equitable for commercial banks to treat their best customers more favourably than others?
There are many people who would argue that treating one customer better than another is neither fair nor equitable.
Those in favour of Mrs Persad-Bissessar’s position argue that the current system of foreign exchange distribution by the Central Bank to 13 authorised dealers—nine of which are commercial banks—is secret and potentially corrupt. And that by refusing to disclose the names of the top users of foreign exchange in this country, the Central Bank is protecting the so-called one per cent.
Mrs Persad-Bissessar quite likely has strong support for her anti-commercial bank campaign among the voters and financiers of the United National Congress, who desperately want the top users of foreign exchange to be exposed.
But consider the fact that commercial banks are being asked to make choices about who gets access to foreign exchange in a situation in which the demand for foreign exchange far outstripes the supply of it at the current maximum US-dollar selling rate of US$6.799.
And consider also that the Central Bank sells more than US$1.2 billion a year to the authorised dealers of foreign exchange in T&T to fill the gap between what those dealers can buy from the “public,” (mostly energy companies) and what the dealers sell to the public.
It is obvious that the current system of foreign exchange distribution does not allow everybody to buy all of the US dollars they need or want. And it is also obvious that the current system is forcing many businesspeople to access the so-called black market or to use multiple credit cards to pay for imported goods. Those add to their cost of doing business.
My position on the issue of the foreign exchange allocation has been, and will continue to be unless negated by overwhelming evidence, that the only fair and equitable system for T&T would be a managed float, similar to the regime that was introduced in April 1993.
Under a managed float regime, there would be no issue of bank managers favouring their large customers, who generate significant fees and other business.
CBTT secrecy
It is clear that the current Central Bank Governor, Dr Alvin Hilaire, is not going to make the same mistake his immediate predecessor, Jwala Rambarran made in disclosing in 2013, 2014 and 2015, the names of the 18 top users of foreign exchange in T&T .
In perusing January 11, 2025 judgment of Justice of Court Justice Nolan Bereaux, I was struck by the fact that on December 7, 2015, Republic Bank Ltd wrote to the Governor complaining about the disclosure of confidential bank information and that on the same date, the Massy Group and Smith Robertson and Co, wrote to the then Minister of Finance, Colm Imbert, complaining about the breach of confidentiality.
It was also striking that Justice Bereaux, after quoting the Central Bank Act and the Financial Institutions Act on the requirement for confidentiality among central bankers, stated, “On the face of it, the disclosures appear to be a clear breach of both Acts.”
What options does the Government have?
1) Given the fact that Dr Hilaire is unlikely to disclose confidential information, the Government can amend the Central Bank Act and the Financial Institutions Act to eliminate the requirement for confidentiality at the Central Bank. The current administration certainly has the majority to amend those Acts.
But amending legislation to remove the confidentiality requirement is out of line with current thinking on central bank independence. This is one of the few things the International Monetary Fund insists on in discussions with countries that need its assistance.
2) Section 3 of the Exchange Control Act provides some interesting possibilities for the Government, if it is really intent on changing the foreign exchange allocation regime.
(1) “The Minister may by order designate the Central Bank established under the Central Bank Act, or an officer in his Ministry to be in charge of Exchange Control.
(2) Subject to subsection (1), the Central Bank shall be charged with the general administration of this Act and in the exercise of its powers and the performance of its duties the Bank shall conform with any general or special directions given to it by the Minister.”
The Central Bank “shall conform with any general or special directions given to it by the Minister (of Finance).”