The Na­tion­al Hur­ri­cane Cen­tre has con­firmed that Beryl is now a very dan­ger­ous cat­e­go­ry 3 hur­ri­cane.  Life-threat­en­ing winds and storm surge ex­pect­ed in the Wind­ward is­lands be­gin­ning ear­ly Mon­day.

At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the eye of Hur­ri­cane Beryl was lo­cat­ed near lat­i­tude 10.6 North, lon­gi­tude 53.9 West, about 420 miles (675 km) East-South-East of Bar­ba­dos. Beryl is mov­ing to­ward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h).  A con­tin­ued quick west­ward to west-north-west­ward mo­tion is ex­pect­ed dur­ing the next few days.

On the fore­cast track, the cen­tre of Beryl is ex­pect­ed to move across the Wind­ward Is­lands ear­ly on Mon­day and across the south­east­ern Caribbean Sea Mon­day night and Tues­day.

Air­craft da­ta in­di­cate that the max­i­mum sus­tained winds have in­creased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with high­er gusts, mak­ing Beryl a very dan­ger­ous cat­e­go­ry 3 hur­ri­cane.  Con­tin­ued rapid strength­en­ing is fore­cast over the next day or so, and Beryl is ex­pect­ed to be­come an ex­treme­ly dan­ger­ous cat­e­go­ry 4 hur­ri­cane be­fore it reach­es the Wind­ward Is­lands.

Hur­ri­cane-force winds ex­tend out­ward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the cen­tre and trop­i­cal-storm-force winds ex­tend out­ward up to 80 miles (130 km).

The min­i­mum cen­tral pres­sure based on da­ta from the Air Force Hur­ri­cane Hunters is 968 mb (28.58 inch­es).

A map showing earliest reasonable arrival time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds for Hurricane Beryl, as of Sunday 30 June 2024. [Image courtesy National Hurricane Centre]

Watch­es and warn­ings in ef­fect

A Hur­ri­cane Warn­ing is in ef­fect for...

* Bar­ba­dos

* St. Lu­cia

* St. Vin­cent and the Grena­dine Is­lands

* Grena­da

* To­ba­go

A Hur­ri­cane Warn­ing means that hur­ri­cane con­di­tions are ex­pect­ed some­where with­in the warn­ing area.  Prepa­ra­tions to pro­tect life and prop­er­ty should be rushed to com­ple­tion.

A Trop­i­cal Storm Warn­ing is in ef­fect for...

* Mar­tinique

A Trop­i­cal Storm Warn­ing means that trop­i­cal storm con­di­tions are ex­pect­ed some­where with­in the warn­ing area with­in 36 hours.

A Trop­i­cal Storm Watch is in ef­fect for...

* Do­mini­ca

A Trop­i­cal Storm Watch means that trop­i­cal storm con­di­tions are pos­si­ble with­in the watch area, gen­er­al­ly with­in 48 hours.

In­ter­ests else­where in the Less­er An­tilles should close­ly mon­i­tor the progress of Beryl.  Ad­di­tion­al watch­es and warn­ings may be re­quired lat­er to­day.

A map showing Tropical-Storm-Force wind speed probabilites for Hurricane Beryl, as of Sunday 30 June 2024. [Image courtesy National Hurricane Centre]

Haz­ards af­fect­ing land

WIND:

Hur­ri­cane con­di­tions are ex­pect­ed in the hur­ri­cane warn­ing area be­gin­ning ear­ly on Mon­day.  Dev­as­tat­ing wind dam­age is ex­pect­ed where the eye­wall of Beryl moves through por­tions of the Wind­ward Is­lands.

Trop­i­cal storm con­di­tions are ex­pect­ed in the trop­i­cal storm warn­ing area start­ing late tonight, mak­ing out­side prepa­ra­tions dif­fi­cult or dan­ger­ous.

Trop­i­cal storm con­di­tions are pos­si­ble with­in the watch area start­ing late tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the wind­ward sides of hills and moun­tains are of­ten up to 30 per­cent stronger than the near-sur­face winds in­di­cat­ed in this ad­vi­so­ry, and in some el­e­vat­ed lo­ca­tions could be even greater.

STORM SURGE: 

A life-threat­en­ing storm surge will raise wa­ter lev­els by as much as 6 to 9 feet above nor­mal tide lev­els in ar­eas of on­shore flow near where Beryl makes land­fall in the hur­ri­cane warn­ing area.  Near the coast, the surge will be ac­com­pa­nied by large and de­struc­tive waves.

RAIN­FALL: 

Hur­ri­cane Beryl is ex­pect­ed to pro­duce rain­fall to­tals of 3 to 6 inch­es across Bar­ba­dos and the Wind­ward Is­lands tonight and Mon­day. This rain­fall may cause flash flood­ing in vul­ner­a­ble ar­eas.

SURF: 

Large swells gen­er­at­ed by Beryl are ex­pect­ed across Wind­ward and south­ern Lee­ward Is­lands dur­ing the next cou­ple of days.  These swells are ex­pect­ed to cause life-threat­en­ing surf and rip cur­rent con­di­tions.