A behavioural pollster says the UNC's identification of three main pillars of focus for their campaign strategy was key to their election success.
Mwale Henry says those pillars were: consolidating the party's base; coalescing swing voters who only show-up to vote out the incumbent government; and discouraging PNM voters from exercising their franchise.
He says the party successfully executed all three. Of particular note was the UNC's mastery of “long form canvassing”.
“‘Long form canvassing’ is where you spend 30-40 minutes with a family,” he explained. “I would have observed, personally, UNC candidates would have spent time with families rather than doing what is called ‘normal canvassing’ or power walks house-to-house—short conversations, shaking hands, smiling and moving on.”
Henry says the UNC strategy is what helped them make in-roads in PNM areas.
As for the PNM, based on the behaviour of their own supporters, the two-leader strategy imposed when Dr Keith Rowley resigned as prime minister—but stayed on as political leader—backfired.
“What took place during the election was … Literally, they were on the battlefield as a leadership, but their foot soldiers were absent,” he pointed out.
“That, in itself, is a scary question [that] I guess would be answered at some point during the General Council Meeting today,” he said.
Mwale Henry was a guest on today’s edition of CNC3’s The Morning Brew show.