Last week Thursday, speaking at a post-Cabinet news conference at the Diplomatic Centre in St Ann’s, Prime Minister Dr Keith Rowley likened the negotiations on the Dragon natural gas field to a “huge boulder that we have been pushing up a hill since 2018”.
“I think we have made some considerable progress and, hopefully, as we move into 2024, we are optimistic that we might be able to work our way out of the strictures on the Dragon matter and, of course, our own deepwater operations here.”
The Prime Minister said Minister of Energy Stuart Young reported to the recent Cabinet retreat that his ministry had put in “a tremendous amount of effort to ensure a sustained gas supply in this country”.
Asked later in the news conference whether he was confident that the “huge boulder” would eventually get pushed over the hill, Rowley said, “I am confident that the efforts we are making are getting us closer and closer to the top of the hill. We have made a lot of effort. Our Minister of Energy has literally been doing shuttle work between Washington DC and Caracas.”
Given Prime Minister Rowley’s reference to 2024 and his optimism that this country “might be able to work our way out of the strictures on the Dragon matter”, Wednesday night’s signing of agreements by Mr Young and his Venezuelan counterpart, Pedro Rafael Tellechea, for the joint exploitation of the natural gas is a huge and noteworthy diplomatic achievement for the administration in Port-of-Spain.
While the details of exactly what was signed were scarce up to last night, the fact that there was an agreement and a ceremony that took place at the Presidential Palace in Caracas and was broadcast on television in our South American neighbour, is a definite indication that progress is being made on this matter.
More importantly, Wednesday’s signing is, as well, an indication that the Venezuelans are still very willing to engage with T&T in developing the Dragon natural gas field to the mutual benefit of both countries.
While T&T has been pushing this “huge boulder” up a hill since 2018, progress on getting Dragon gas into the T&T pipeline infrastructure was made when the US Department of Treasury granted a two-year licence to T&T in January this year to develop the Dragon field in partnership with PDVSA, Venezuela’s state-owned natural gas and oil company.
The “strictures” referred to by the T&T Prime Minister eight days ago, no doubt, include a condition of the licence that prevents the administration in Venezuela from receiving any cash payments from the Dragon project.
Advancing this project would be much easier if the Biden administration were to drop this conditionality. But the current geopolitical realities of the relationship between Caracas and Washington DC make that a remote possibility ... at this time.
But in a world where cryptocurrencies are a reality—and Central Bank Digital Currencies have been introduced in Jamaica, The Bahamas and the Eastern Caribbean—it is certainly not far-fetched to imagine a payment regime for Dragon gas in the future that adopts 21st century innovations.
The signing this week signals that while “strictures” remain, the joint efforts of T&T and Venezuela, along with this country’s Caricom partners, could result in the Dragon dancing after all.