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Sunday, August 10, 2025

THE REFINERY CLOSURE IN CONTEXT

by

Trevor Sudama
2459 days ago
20181116

TREVOR SU­DAMA

I am dwelling on the Petrotrin re­fin­ery clo­sure at some length not on­ly be­cause of its enor­mous so­cio-eco­nom­ic sig­nif­i­cance for the coun­try but be­cause it brings to the fore a ma­jor philo­soph­i­cal and gov­er­nance is­sue name­ly, the role and re­spon­si­bil­i­ties of gov­ern­ments in pre­serv­ing and ad­vanc­ing em­ploy­ment lev­els in an econ­o­my such as ours with the re­sources cur­rent­ly at our dis­pos­al.

If es­chew­ing ide­ol­o­gy, we take the po­si­tion that gov­ern­ments do have a ma­jor re­spon­si­bil­i­ty in this re­gard, two ques­tions arise—(a) what are the lim­its to this re­spon­si­bil­i­ty and (b) whether there has been ra­tio­nal con­sis­ten­cy un­der­ly­ing de­ci­sions for in­ter­ven­tion or non-in­ter­ven­tion.

A well-known char­ac­ter­is­tic of the T&T econ­o­my is the dom­i­nance of the en­er­gy sec­tor and its very sub­stan­tial con­tri­bu­tion to GDP, to gov­ern­ment rev­enues and to for­eign ex­change earn­ings. The sec­tor, how­ev­er, ac­counts for on­ly four per cent of the labour force and gen­er­ates very lit­tle spin-off job-cre­at­ing ac­tiv­i­ties. The non-en­er­gy pri­vate sec­tor in­volve­ment in the econ­o­my has been mod­est. Its lim­it­ed vol­ume of in­vest­ment has gen­er­at­ed a few sus­tain­able jobs of a skilled or se­mi-skilled na­ture.

In­stead of growth, the man­u­fac­tur­ing, tourism, and agri­cul­tur­al sec­tors have been con­tract­ing over the years. The gen­er­al men­tal­i­ty of pri­vate sec­tor op­er­a­tors is char­ac­terised by con­ser­vatism and risk aver­sion as de­not­ed by the safe in­vest­ment in im­port and re­tail com­merce and for­eign food fran­chis­es which have large­ly cre­at­ed low-wage un­skilled jobs.

In such a con­text, there­fore, the onus is placed on the Gov­ern­ment to take the ini­tia­tive in en­gag­ing in ven­tures which have the po­ten­tial of cre­at­ing a range of jobs. Gov­ern­men­tal ac­tiv­i­ty in an econ­o­my such as ours nec­es­sar­i­ly plays a cru­cial role through its pro­gramme of in­vest­ment and its pro­file of ex­pen­di­ture.

Such en­deav­ours are de­signed, among oth­er things, both to pre­serve ex­ist­ing jobs and cre­ate new ones. The prob­lem, how­ev­er, is, hav­ing tak­en as a mat­ter of ex­i­gency the de­ci­sion to pre­serve jobs, gov­ern­ments have not pro­ceed­ed to im­ple­ment mea­sures to place those jobs or the ma­jor­i­ty of them on a sus­tain­able ba­sis. Nor have they em­barked up­on or fa­cil­i­tat­ed a mean­ing­ful pro­gramme of di­ver­si­fi­ca­tion through which jobs, prefer­ably well-paid ones, would be cre­at­ed in dif­fer­ent sec­tors of the econ­o­my.

The point is that, in the cur­rent state and struc­ture of the econ­o­my, the role of the Gov­ern­ment in job cre­ation and preser­va­tion is piv­otal. The present Gov­ern­ment is com­mit­ted to spend­ing bil­lions of dol­lars on the San­dals Beach Re­sort project (100 per cent eq­ui­ty) pri­mar­i­ly to cre­ate jobs since net for­eign ex­change earn­ings might be mod­est giv­en the all-in­clu­sive na­ture of the re­sort and the arrange­ments for tourist ex­pen­di­tures.

In­deed, the sub­stan­tial pro­posed in­vest­ment in the Dry Dock Fa­cil­i­ty at La Brea has large­ly a sim­i­lar ob­jec­tive of job cre­ation. In the ab­sence of sig­nif­i­cant pri­vate sec­tor ini­tia­tives, the is­sue for the tax-pay­ing pub­lic is not whether gov­ern­ments should em­bark on job-cre­at­ing ven­tures but whether they are fea­si­ble in the long term.

In this vein, there is a ra­tio­nale for gov­ern­ments to en­gage in tem­po­rary work pro­grammes to pro­vide jobs for the un­skilled since the al­ter­na­tive would be un­em­ploy­ment. My ob­jec­tion to these pro­grammes has been based on the fact that they have been used to en­hance elec­toral for­tunes and work­ers have been en­gaged in non-es­sen­tial ac­tiv­i­ties when they could be more pro­duc­tive­ly em­ployed in cre­at­ing or re­ha­bil­i­tat­ing the in­fra­struc­ture for agri­cul­ture and for drainage and re-af­foresta­tion projects.

With re­spect to com­par­isons be­tween op­er­a­tions in the pri­vate and pub­lic sec­tors there ought to be an ap­pre­ci­a­tion of the dif­fer­ent ob­jec­tives and per­spec­tives of the de­ci­sion mak­ers in each sec­tor. It would help if lead­ers de­sist­ed from mak­ing su­per­fi­cial com­par­isons. For the pri­vate sec­tor, the prof­it mo­tive is the dom­i­nant con­sid­er­a­tion for in­vest­ment. In the process, jobs are cre­at­ed but this is on­ly in­ci­den­tal. Nor are pri­vate in­vestors un­du­ly con­cerned with the so­cial con­se­quences of high lev­els of un­em­ploy­ment.

A Gov­ern­ment, how­ev­er, in­vests with mul­ti­ple ob­jec­tives in mind pri­ma­ry among them is job cre­ation and preser­va­tion, de­vel­op­ment of hu­man cap­i­tal and stim­u­la­tion of the lo­cal econ­o­my. The ref­er­ence to Neal and Massy and ANSA McAL has lit­tle rel­e­vance to Petrotrin’s cur­rent po­si­tion.

With re­spect to calls for in­creased ef­fi­cien­cy and en­hanced pro­duc­tiv­i­ty in the pub­lic ser­vice, the util­i­ties, and lo­cal gov­ern­ment, the re­al­i­ty is that this ob­jec­tive can large­ly be achieved on­ly by a sig­nif­i­cant re­duc­tion of the labour force in these en­ti­ties. If this were to take place in the cur­rent state of the labour mar­ket, the em­ploy­ees, so re­trenched, will find it al­most im­pos­si­ble to ob­tain al­ter­na­tive em­ploy­ment. It is very re­veal­ing that the Gov­ern­ment is re­luc­tant to pro­ceed on such a course and is ap­par­ent­ly will­ing to main­tain cur­rent lev­els of fund­ing and sub­si­dies to pre­serve jobs.

Giv­en the above re­al­i­ties, would the de­ci­sion to close the Petrotrin Re­fin­ery be seen in a dif­fer­ent light.


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