In the last few days, the public debate on the distribution of foreign exchange has benefitted significantly from the publication of two well-argued, consequential contributions on the issue of whether the Central Bank should disclose this country’s top users of foreign exchange, as a previous Central Bank Governor, Jwala Rambarran, did in December 2015...and for which he was fired.
The first contribution is Central Bank Confidentiality, Duties and the Public Interest, by UWI St Augustine Principal Prof Rose-Marie Belle Antoine, who is the pre-eminent legal scholar in the region, as well as being the author of Confidentiality in Offshore Financial Law, Oxford University Press, 2013.
The second essay is The Central Bank’s Duty to Disclose by Dr Terrence Farrell, who holds a PhD in economics, and a law degree, and is a former deputy Governor of the Central Bank of T&T. He served for 15 years as a director of Republic Bank Ltd and its successor company, Republic Financial Holdings Ltd, which is the region’s largest financial institution. I believe he is T&T's foremost commentator on economic and financial matters.
Prof Antoine asserts that the Central Bank Act contains provisions that clearly dictate that monetary policy and, by extension, economic policy are the preserve of the minister/government and not the sole discretion of the Governor.
She then cites, in part, section 50 of the Act. Section 50 states, in full, the following: “The Minister (of Finance) may, after consultation with the Governor, issue to the Bank such written directives of a general nature as may be necessary to give effect to the monetary and fiscal policies of the Government.”
The question being raised is: what is the meaning of “general” directives, in the context of section 50. That is because elsewhere in the Act, (section 44F (5), it is stated that the Central Bank “shall comply with any general or special directions of the Minister and shall act only after due consultation with the Minister.”
Even if we accept that monetary and fiscal policy, as outlined in section 50, includes issues of the exchange rate regime and the foreign exchange allocation policy, do we accept that the Minister of Finance can request the names of the top purchasers of foreign exchange in accordance with the Minister’s discretionary authority to issue to the Central Bank Governor “written directives of a general nature?”
I am not a lawyer, but would that not require a “special” direction or directive?
In her commentary, Prof Antoine asks, “Consequently, can a governor refuse to disclose information to the government, or act contrary to government policy?”
Farrell responds, “The answer to the first part of the question is that it depends on precisely what information the government requires.”
“...Government ministers may be “representatives of the people”, but they are also partisan politicians. The public interest requires that there be safeguards against partisan political use of personal data and information, which might be disclosed under the protection of parliamentary privilege.”
Farrell continues, “Antoine asks: ‘Is it logical or reasonable to expect confidentiality to preclude disclosure? My answer is ‘Yes’ if the request by the government is unnecessary, irrelevant to policymaking, or intended for purely political purposes.”
On the point of a minister of finance asking for information that is “intended for purely political purposes,” I would go further than Dr Farrell:
1) The Minister of Finance not only wants the information on the top purchasers of foreign exchange for “purely political purposes,” but, in my view, Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar has weaponised the allocation of foreign exchange in T&T.
As reported in this space on May 29, at a post-Cabinet news conference on May 15, the Prime Minister mandated three of her ministers to produce a report on foreign exchange distribution and leakage over the past ten years.
The ten-year requirement of the report is not a coincidence as it is the period in which the now Opposition People’s National Movement (PNM) had stewardship over T&T.
“Then this report, as I say, will be made public to identify the main users, the main facilitators of this unfair distribution, and explain to the public how this entire foreign exchange distribution cartel and conspiracy between certain operatives and businesses was functioning,” she said.
T&T’s prime minister has, in effect, prejudged the allocation of foreign exchange as being an “unfair distribution,” describing the main facilitators as being part of “a foreign exchange distribution cartel,” who are in a “conspiracy” with “certain operatives.”
She has both weaponised and criminalised T&T’s banking system and the country’s largest users of foreign exchange.
Why? I believe she is being lobbied hard by her party’s large financiers who argue that the distribution of foreign exchange is the reason for certain companies prospering more than them. The financiers of the United National Congress not only want more access to foreign exchange, but they want to embarrass the current large purchasers of forex by implying that these companies are financiers of the PNM;
2) In outlining its mission, the Central Bank website states the following:
“The (Central) Bank shall have as its purpose the promotion of such monetary, credit and exchange policies as would foster monetary and financial stability and public confidence and be favourable to the economy of Trinidad and Tobago.”
One of the purposes of the Central Bank, therefore, is the promotion of exchange policies “as would foster monetary and financial stability and public confidence.” Public confidence, as a result, is an important part of the Central Bank’s mission.
Does revealing the names of largest purchasers of foreign exchange promote public confidence in the Central Bank or in T&T? I think not, and on this I agree with Dr Farrell who stated, “Confidentiality is the bedrock principle underlying public confidence in financial institutions, especially banks. If people felt that their banks will give out their private banking information and transactions to governments, they would have no confidence in those institutions.”
How does the revelation of the main purchasers of foreign exchange promote such “monetary, credit and exchange policies as would foster monetary and financial stability and public confidence and be favourable to the economy of Trinidad and Tobago?”
3) Prof Antoine argues, “There is no doubt that the matter of forex is an issue of vital public importance—not only how much is being distributed, but whether it is distributed equitably. Private citizens have suffered because of inadequate forex and enterprises have gone out of business, thereby undermining the economy. In my view, such an issue relates easily to the core purpose and functions of the Central Bank.”
The relevant questions here are which enterprises have gone out of business?
• Are the failed enterprises small, retail outlets that want access to more foreign exchange in order to import goods for sale on the local market?
• Is it really an aspect of the core purpose and function of the Central Bank to ensure that every “private citizen” can set up a small business selling foreign goods and that SME would have access to foreign exchange “equitably?”
• Or is it part of the core purpose and function of the Central Bank to ensure that those companies that are using foreign exchange as inputs to earn foreign exchange by exporting, or are importing essential foods and pharmaceuticals, get favourable access to foreign exchange?
• Is it not actually part of the core purpose and function of the Central Bank to promote foreign exchange earnings above the needs of the retailers, at a time when T&T’s main foreign exchange earner, natural gas, faces declining ouput and volatile prices?
I stand by my belief that, at this point, the only “fair” system of foreign exchange allocation for T&T would be a managed float with an auction by authorised forex dealers, which would determine the exchange rate and distribution.
A managed float would result in the allocation of forex to:
1) Those willing to pay the highest price for it;
2) Those who can make a profit from the purchase of foreign exchange at the highest price;
3) Companies that are purchasing foreign exchange to sell goods on the local market would only succeed if they operate in high-margin or high-volume businesses.
We have a foreign exchange regime in which demand far outstrips supply at the current subsidised price, but everyone wants access to an unlimted amount of foreign exchange at the subsidised price. That is simply not sustainable.