About two weeksago, Shiva Bissessar, managing director of Pinaka Consulting Ltd, delivered the feature address at 30th anniversary celebration of the establishment of Infolink Systems Ltd, which was created initially to provide a local debit card switching infrastructure.
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Three decades ago, when Infolink was founded, the local payments landscape looked fundamentally different. Physical cash dominated transactions and the idea of instant digital payments seemed futuristic. Today, cash remains king, but we have made progress towards retail payments system innovation with EMI established.
With technology advancements such as distributed ledgers and AI, we stand at another inflection point—one where the decisions we make in the next few years will shape the Caribbean financial landscape for the next three decades.
Infolink has been critical to Trinidad and Tobago’s journey toward digital financial infrastructure modernisation. This positions you to understand both the promise and complexity of impending technological transformation.
The pace of change we’ve experienced over the past 30 years will pale in comparison to what’s coming in the next five.
In 2021, the Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB) launched DCash—the world’s first retail Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in a monetary union. I led execution of that pioneering effort and over five years, we developed and operated a distributed ledger-based CBDC serving eight territories.
At the launch, ECCB Governor Antoine questioned whether the pace of Caribbean financial innovation must be tied to the amortisation rate of legacy systems. The Caribbean has become a laboratory for CBDC experimentation while larger economies are still merely studying.
Simultaneously, the recent reading of the Virtual Asset Bill signals a two-year moratorium on the operations of Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) while authorities prepare to regulate. FATF compliance is not optional, but the opportunity cost is delaying the development of local expertise and infrastructure.
We face a persistent constraint that shapes everything else: foreign exchange scarcity. This is not merely an inconvenience—it’s a fundamental constraint on our economic sovereignty and our citizens’ financial freedom.
Meanwhile, we’re signalling to adopt India’s Unified Payments Interface for instant payments. UPI is proven having revolutionised the payments landscape in India. But as we adopt international solutions, how do we ensure our payment infrastructure remains under our sovereign control and serves our specific needs?
The AI-Powered Fraud Revolution is here. Artificial Intelligence is not just transforming how we build payment systems—it’s revolutionising how criminals attack them. Deepfake social engineering has moved from theory to operational threat. In 2024, a Hong Kong multinational lost US$25 million when an employee transferred funds after a video call with what appeared to be the company’s CFO and other senior executives—all deepfakes. It’s simply a matter of time before this affects us in the Caribbean.
Deepfakes will also affect the most vulnerable amongst us. Financial sextortion schemes and romance scams will become even more convincing as perpetrators use voice cloning and live deepfakes.
AI-generated synthetic identities represent another emerging frontier. An AI system generates a photorealistic face that has never existed and creates a complete identity history—employment records, address history—all fabricated but internally consistent. It successfully opens a bank account and that account is used for money laundering or receiving fraudulent transfers. When authorities investigate, the trail leads nowhere.
But here’s the paradox: The same AI technologies enabling these threats also represent our best defence - tools capable of detecting live deepfake video and audio now exist. However, AI security tools require investment and expertise. When international banks deploy cutting-edge AI fraud detection while smaller institutions rely on systems designed for the pre-AI era, guess where criminals will target their attacks?
The Monetary Authority of Singapore recently issued guidance on deepfakes. Where are you in considering this operational threat?
Let’s think beyond the immediate horizon - about future payment innovations that could transform our region.
Future scenario 1: The tokenised Caribbean rconomy
Imagine a Caribbean where commercial bank deposits exist as programmable tokens. Your company’s deposits at Bank X could exist as programmable tokens enabling automatic settlement of complex transactions all happening simultaneously with zero settlement risk. Cross-border payments occur in seconds, not days.
The Bank for International Settlements has demonstrated through pilots that this technology works. The question isn’t whether it’s technically feasible—it’s whether Caribbean financial institutions will be issuers of tokenised deposits or merely users of someone else’s infrastructure.
Future scenario 2: Wholesale CBDC and correspondent banking independence
Our foreign exchange constraints aren’t merely a monetary policy challenge—they’re partly a consequence of our position in the global correspondent banking system. Wholesale CBDC offers a potential escape. Imagine interoperable Caribbean CBDCs designed for interbank settlement.
Combined with distributed ledger technology, we could enable payment-versus-payment settlement between Caribbean currencies and major global currencies without requiring correspondent banking relationships.
This could mean: Direct TT dollar to Barbados dollar settlement without USD intermediation, reduced reliance on costly correspondent banking relationships and lower foreign exchange transaction costs for businesses.
Future thinking requires us to consider not just aspirational scenarios, but also cautionary ones.
Future to Avoid: The security catastrophe
We rush to adopt innovative technologies without adequately investing in security. A major breach occurs—perhaps a synthetic identity ring looking for inadequate eKYC systems and laundering proceeds through our digital payment systems.
The resulting loss of confidence sets Caribbean digital finance back a decade. This is the future we must be most vigilant in avoiding. Because unlike technological dependence, a security catastrophe does immediate, quantifiable harm to real people and institutions.
Considering aspirational and cautionary futures require action today.
In 2017, I laid a case for the creation of an Ecosystem of Cybersecurity Professionals at a future threat assessment exercise. I renew this call today. We need to build Caribbean digital finance capacity now—and make security expertise central to that capacity building.
Criminal groups practice economies of scale, allowing for specialisation and procuring of services from each other to stage an attack – think about Ransomware As A Service. Bad guys are coordinating their efforts while we continue isolated in silos – what chance do we stand?
I propose we aim, within five years, to have 500 Caribbean professionals certified in blockchain security, AI-powered fraud detection, and CBDC architecture. How else do we achieve the critical mass needed to sustain regional innovation without perpetual dependence on foreign expertise. Can such an objective be incorporated into your sustainability goals or your CSR?
Digital Finance, AI, and information security are inextricably linked!
Futures thinking is about preparing for multiple possible futures and shaping the one we want, while actively preventing the futures we fear.
Do we want a future where Caribbean payments are powered by tokenised currencies, where our businesses settle trade instantly across borders, and where our citizens have sovereignty over digital financial infrastructure—all while being protected by security that prevents AI-powered fraud?
Or do we drift toward a future where we’re perpetual importers of technologies, where our regulatory caution becomes paralysis, where our financial sovereignty is compromised by dependence on foreign platforms—or worse, where we rush into digital finance innovations without adequate security and suffer catastrophic breaches?
The choice is ours. But we must choose actively, not passively.
Thirty years ago, Infolink was founded on a bet that digital payment infrastructure could transform our financial sector. Today’s bet is for Caribbean institutions to architect the next generation of payment technologies.
This will require investment, risk-taking, collaboration and regulatory frameworks that enable innovation while maintaining the integrity of our financial systems. But if small Caribbean islands can pioneer retail CBDC, then we can certainly lead in the next wave of digital finance innovation.
The next 30 years of Caribbean digital finance will be written by those bold enough to act today.
What chapter you will be writing, or will you merely be reading?
Bissessar has a background in strategic ICT and information ecurity, and has pioneered digital currency research implementation in the Caribbean.
