The spread of the ‘Sixx’ and ‘Seven’ gangs from T&T to neighbouring islands, along with “copycat” criminals, has been cited by international and regional crime analysts as a factor in rising violence in the other Lesser Antilles islands.
And analysts have also been told of concerns from various regional countries regarding potential fallout from the US-Venezuela issues - including being targeted for hosting any US facility or supporting the US’s position against Venezuela.
The information has been presented by Dr Evan Ellis (senior non-resident associate with Washington’s Americas Programme at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies), in a summary following his participation at the Third Regional Network meeting for crime analysts. This was held in the Dominican Republic from November 24-27.
The event brought together crime analysts from across the Caribbean, including the Netherlands, the UK and France, to discuss challenges posed by organised crime in the region.
In his summary on security challenges in the Caribbean amid the US military deployment, Ellis stated, “The event was as surreal as it was productive, with senior police, military and other officials discussing illicit flows of drugs, money and people through the Caribbean, even as the US military was conducting lethal interdictions against suspected drug boats, with widespread speculation that the United States could take decisive military action in Venezuela.”
He said the flow of drugs through the region, in conjunction with the availability of guns, continues to be a major driver of violence and corruption in the region, facilitated by local gangs as well as regional and international groups.
The regional law enforcement coordination organisation, Caribbean Community Implementation Agency for Crime and Security (Caricom IMPACS), reported that 329 metric tons of cocaine and 172 metric tons of marijuana were seized transiting the region in 2025, Ellis noted.
“Participants spoke of four principal regional routes with three focused on supplying the European market: (1) Venezuela through the Lesser Antilles to Europe; (2) Venezuela through Guyana to Europe; (3) Colombia to the Dominican Republic to Europe, and (4) the Eastern Caribbean to Puerto Rico to the US.”
Ellis added, “Overall, the Caribbean continues to be beset by high levels of homicides, tied to a combination of drugs, guns, and gang activity, with particularly elevated homicide rates in the Turks and Caicos (103.1 per 100,000), Anguilla (80.0 per 100,000), Haiti (62.0 per 100,000), St. Kitts and Nevis (59.8 per 100,000), and St Vincent and the Grenadines (53.7 per 100,000), among others. In Anguilla, with a population of only 15,000, the number of homicides has jumped from only 2 in 2022 to 12 in 2025. “
He said discussions on gangs noted the challenge from the evolution of gangs such as the “Sixx” and “Seven” gangs originally from T&T but now operating throughout the Lesser Antilles and beyond.
Ellis said, “The spread of the ‘Sixx’ and ‘Seven’ gangs from Trinidad and Tobago to neighbouring islands, along with ‘copycat’’ criminals, was noted as a factor in rising violence in the Lesser Antilles. Trinidad and Tobago itself has made progress in bringing its own violence down, although the homicide rate has remained high (45.7 per 100,000).
“Experts in the group attributed the progress to the government’s (sic) imposition of states of emergency (sic) and help from its 2021 Anti-gang Act, although they noted that progress against gangs is more focused on the incarceration of gang members rather than the elimination of the problem.”
“Likewise, the sustainability of reductions in violence after the State of Emergency remains unclear,” he added.
Possible US-Venezuela fallout
Ellis detailed the following concerns raised by participants regarding the US-Venezuela issue:
* The possible impact of a regional conflagration on Aruba and Curacao’s economies due to interruptions in air/maritime shipments and tourism
* In the event of hostilities, the Maduro government could target the US military’s Forward Operating Location (FOL) on Curacao, although they believed that Maduro would likely not do so because it is understood to be a small counternarcotics facility, not a base for US operations against Venezuela.
* Economic/other repercussions that could be imposed by the Maduro government if countries are perceived as supporting America’s position.
* Possible new wave of migrants that could leave Venezuela for nearby Caribbean islands if US military action led to generalised violence and a collapse of the economy.
* Long-term impacts on tourism and investment in those islands if violence/political instability in Venezuela persisted following a US intervention.
* European experts\concern that US actions could displace more drugs into commercial cargoes and overland routes eventually departing for Europe from ports/airports in Guyana, Suriname and elsewhere.
Ellis said colleagues indicated that US interdiction operations had caused a decrease in narco boats from Venezuela and also caused fishing vessels - including those smuggling persons and not just drugs - to avoid Venezuela’s coast. Other islands reported significant drops in narco boat transits.
“Nonetheless, many at the event didn’t anticipate a significant long-term impact from US military operations on the overall volume of drug flows, noting that it did not appear that the organisations sending the drugs themselves were being attritted,” Ellis said.
“They noted that most of the large drug shipments sent out of the region move in cargo containers, charter vessels, or commercial flights, and that most shipments going through the Caribbean were bound for Europe, not the United States,” he added.’
Concerns about criminals’ buying’ citizenship
Dr Ellis also said attendees discussed a range of related problems, including firearms availability, the presence of foreign gangs, and challenges by five countries with citizenship-by-investment programmes. That concerns the use of illicit proceeds by criminals to obtain citizenship in the region and broader global access
According to a presentation by Caricom IMPACS 95 per cent of traceable guns recovered in the region had origins in the United States, often purchased legally but smuggled illegally into the region.
Participants expressed concern over the role of Chinese organised crime, including concerns about inadequate visibility into what is occurring in Chinese communities and concerns that Chinese shops, which are ubiquitous on virtually all of the islands, may be involved in money laundering and other illicit activity.
On cooperation against organised crime in the region, Ellis noted Curacao’s “War Room initiative - bringing together analysts from each of the five police forces of the Dutch Caribbean to share intelligence on active criminal networks.”
“With perceived success, Caricom nations may be included in future War Room events consistent with a letter of intent signed there between Caricom and Dutch Caribbean police chiefs,” he said.
