The Farley Augustine-Watson Duke relationship is over and it’s a major blow from which Tobago will take a long time to recover. It also remains ahead if Duke’s Progressive Democratic Patriots party will hold together.
These were the views of Tobago Business Chamber head Martin George, economist Dr Vanus James and former public service head Reginald Dumas, after PDP leader Duke resigned as THA deputy chief secretary following months of private tensions and one recent public fallout.
Duke, in a fiery address yesterday, targeted Augustine and signalled various moves.
Duke’s resignation was a particular disappointment for Dr James, a PDP associate who’d tried at length during the impasse and up to yesterday, to get Duke and Augustine to talk to resolve the issue.
At 9 am yesterday, James had expressed confidence a resolution could be reached, since both had indicated to him they’d approach “the situation with wisdom.”
But James said Duke’s resignation had changed the whole discussion. “Reconciliation can no longer take place from within the PDP - this is the end of that discussion and this is a major blow to the future of the progress of the people of Tobago. It’ll take a long time for Tobago to recover from this.”
Chamber boss George said it appeared that despite the best efforts of people - including himself - to try and broker peace between Duke and Augustine, “they remain committed to a collision course: a clash of egos, wills and personalities.”
“From a business perspective, political perspective and a governance perspective, it isn’t good for Tobago or the nation. In the internecine warfare that’s been going on in the PDP’s belly and bosom, it doesn’t appear they can remain together within the party,” he said.
George said Augustine had thrown down the gauntlet to Duke in relation to calling a no-confidence vote.
“Clearly, he’d been preparing for this, was ready and ensured he had in advance the numbers on his side,” George said.
“I guess Mr Duke ‘read the tea leaves’ and recognised that if he called the no-confidence vote, he could be the one ending up being voted out. So he’s now flipped the script by resigning and it’s over to Mr Augustine on what he’ll do.”
George projected that Augustine would try to give the impression that it’s business as usual.
“However, the fractures in the PDP appear, at this point, to be beyond the point of no return and reached what author Malcolm Gladwell’s spoken of as a ‘tipping point’. In those circumstances, it doesn’t appear this relationship is salvageable. It seems for whatever reason that it’s gone past the point of no return. One or the other has crossed the Rubicon. It’s been the Waterloo - they cannot come back from this.”
George added, “Even if they try to give the impression of unity later, the public will be very suspicious and think this is a case of two men hugging each other, each holding a long knife behind his back waiting for the moment to strike.
“This, unfortunately, appears to be the end of the Watson-Farley relationship at this time. Basdeo Panday famously said politics has a morality of its own. So maybe later we might see a rapprochement and these two coming back together.
“We wait to see how THA navigates its way under Mr Augustine’s leadership out of this crisis and debacle.”
He said his body hopes for a smooth effective transition to ensure Tobago’s business can continue and “Tobagonians aren’t disenfranchised or suffer as a result of the clash of personalities.”
Former public service head Dumas said Duke’s resignation doesn’t affect the THA’s functions and he continues being an Assemblyman - but won’t have any portfolio responsibilities.
Dumas noted that as deputy Chief Secretary, Duke had aspects of his portfolio - like Diaspora responsibilities - that weren’t in THA’s Act.
“Moreover, we’ll have to see what action he takes next regarding his party. He’s dismissed three deputy leaders and has to replace them. We’ll have to see if the PDP as we know it will hold together at all or if a new party will be formed,” Dumas said.
“Much would depend on what happens in the next few weeks and relations between them and whether that leads to break up of the party. We have to watch the impact on the island and the self-government thrust.”
