By now the Local Government Elections campaign’s pace progress and political pyrexia can be traced by its music.
UNC’s theme song for the entry of leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar at meetings is the late Blaxx’s Hulk. The PNM’s music for Prime Minister Dr Keith Rowley’s entry at PNM’s Siparia meeting was thundering tassa.
Last night’s Palo Seco meeting featured Rowley in an informal Conversations with the PM setting, designed for optimal interaction—which PNM now requires since battle cries from both sides are as informative as their music.
“He knows the licking’s coming,” boasted Persad-Bissessar at battleground Sangre Grande on Thursday.
“He could talk all he wants, the House of Rowley’s crumbling,” Jack Warner, now UNC frontline, declared.
PNM Senator Renuka Sagramsingh-Sooklal in Arima, on Wednesday, pronounced, “We’ve seen all kinds of concoctions recently; whatever they call it, UNC’s a sinking ship! Many may leave us but they’ll return when they realise the chaos and confusion there!”
“Those who donned yellow jerseys we know your heart is really red! We invite you, return home. As Sheldon “Fish” Garcia said, this election may be the most important ... it’s imperative to vote PNM!” PNM Senator Laurel Lezama-Lee Sing added.
Changing scenarios for the 1,091,936 electorate (a bit more than the 2019 LG electorate of 1,079,976).
Indeed, tracking on Tuesday showed PNM and UNC holding in respective west/north and south strongholds. PNM-controlled San Juan where PDP and others are contesting Barataria shows a keen fight and heavier in battleground Sangre Grande. Battle Royale currently is in PNM-controlled San Fernando where PNM is working 24/7 including on three marginal districts.
What effect the UNC’s offensive powered by the Warner/Gary Griffith accommodation will yield, materialises ahead. But PNM’s defensive—damage control statements—reflected changed currents.
With the Government affected by unpopularity and “ground” disconnection while managing national issues, crises and dogged opposition pursuit and UNC hit by fragmentation, members’ legal matters and lagging national image, their respective LG tickets are reinforcement: PNM recruitment of UNC members, resulting in UNC’s reply of some PP returnees.
After Monday’s platform, one UNC MP happily declared, “So much media was mobbing the leader (Monday) like it was 2010 again!”
Positives included the optics of the huge gathering, the anticipation of the middle class and East-West corridor inroads via NTA and Warner respectively, and the good-vibes hope of 2010 victory.
Along with the consequent political “bump” in stocks, however, must be considered the flip sides.
Credibility after past back-biting about each other from the main personalities holding hands on Monday. PP disintegration. Un-new faces. Warner’s current US issues, FIFA past and waned political strength. PNM’s claims about Griffith. Concern from some about the accommodation including UNC frontliners. Effect of Warner’s issues on fledging NTA.
Plus: the irony of two ex-PP national security ministers—one facing legal matters standing alongside a former police commissioner whose mantra is the law.
While Griffith’s made it clear Warner has no authority, both, now UNC’s main emissaries to the middle/undecided/Afro Trini votes, will require elevation if UNC wins areas they have worked.
A possible coalition revival was also signalled Monday—ahead of the accommodation meeting—via unions’ hint of UNC collaboration. Monday evening OWTU branch members were seen endorsing UNC candidates in battleground Marabella.
UNC officials said more may return. Speculation includes former MPs Fazal Karim and Fuad Khan. Ex-Minister Kevin Ramnarine confirmed, “I intend attending some meetings before August 14.”
Despite Persad-Bissessar’s caveat to comers that UNC loyalists are priority, she signalled that UNC has THA Chief Secretary Farley Augustine’s “back”. If his representatives are on a future UNC/NTA/Jack/Labour platform, it will further the PP facsimile.
But that will be minus NJAC after Taharqa Obika went to PNM. And PEP leader Phillip Alexander says, “We’ll be no part of UNC or PNM.”
If PNM and UNC are working towards winning at least nine of the 14 corporations, it remains ahead whether the tight race where PNM and UNC must convince undecideds plus recoup lost members, will have an 8/6 or 9/5 win for one or the other.