People are borrowing more from the banks.
According to the Central Bank’s Annual Economic Survey 2024, which was released two weeks ago, 2024 saw a surge in banks’ lending to consumers.
The report states, “The pace of consumer lending sped up in 2024. Supported by attractive financing terms, consumer lending ended 2024 in double-digits (12.1 per cent, year-on-year), up from 8.8 per cent in December 2023. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the value and volume of consumer loans exceeded that of 2023, recording increases of 11.9 per cent and 5.5 per cent, respectively.”
The main reason for the loans, according to the survey, was for the purchase of cars, real estate and servicing debt.
The report stated, “Notable year-on-year increases were recorded in loans for motor vehicles (15.2 per cent), consolidation of debt (11.2 per cent), refinancing (7.5 per cent), land and real estate (20.3 per cent) and other purposes (15.4 per cent) which includes credit card debt (11.2 per cent) in December 2024.”
The increase in returns from loan segments was recognised by the banking sector.
Three of the country’s banks noted recently that loan growth contributed significantly to impressive financial performances in recent fiscal reports.
On May 2, Vincent Pereira, chairman of Republic Financial Holdings Ltd (RFHL) said as much while announcing the group recorded profits attributable to equity holders of $1.01 billion for the period ended March 31, 2025. The financial return represented an increase of 1.1 per cent when compared to the prior period, Pereira explained.
He said, “Growth for the period was bolstered by the group’s robust loan growth and prudent cost management.”
In the First Citizens Group’s financial report released on May 7, group chairman Anthony Smart also stated that the group’s loan portfolio contributed significantly to recording profit after tax for the or the six-month period ended March 31, 2025 of $444.9 million. This performance was said to be an increase by 2.1 per cent over the bank’s performance in 2024 at the same time.
Smart said, “This increase over the six month period was underpinned by the growth of approximately $1.5 billion in the loan portfolio.”
At Scotiabank’s 55th Annual Meeting of Shareholders in March, the bank’s chief financial officer, Reshard Mohammed stated that for bank’s performance in 2024, “Net interest income increased by $90 million or 7 per cent driven by growth in our loan portfolio as well as improved net interest margins. This is the highest level of net interest income ever attained by our bank.”
Scotiabank chairman Derek Hudson also said at the meeting, “For the year, the group recorded total revenue of $1.95 billion, an increase of $67 million or 4 per cent over the prior year, driven mainly by growth in net interest income of $90 million or seven per cent. This increase was achieved through continued strong expansion in loan balances in both retail and commercial segments.”
However, it was not just the average man walking into banks to secure loans in 2024, as the Central Bank survey also noted that businesses also took the opportunity to seek additional financing services from commercial banks over the course of the year.
The report said, “Businesses’ credit appetite also grew in 2024, albeit at a slower pace. In December 2024, business credit expanded by 8.9 per cent compared to 10.1 per cent recorded in December 2023. According to sectoral business lending data, growth in the value and volume of business loans decelerated.
“The value of loans reached 6.6 per cent, and the volume of loans reached 8.4 per cent. Notable increases were observed for loans to the finance, insurance and real estate sector (5.4 per cent), construction sector (19.7 per cent) and distribution sector (10.4 per cent).
“On the other hand, decelerations were observed in manufacturing (0.2 per cent), petroleum (11.7 per cent) and other services (5.2 per cent) sectors.”
The survey said, “The robust growth in credit to the private sector continued in 2024, bolstered by consumer, business and real estate mortgage lending. On a year-on-year basis, consolidated system credit growth was 8.0 per cent in December 2024, compared to an increase of 8.4 per cent in December 2023. Commercial bank lending was responsible for the growth in 2024, as non-bank lending experienced a contraction.
“Commercial bank lending increased by 9.3 per cent (year-on-year) in December 2024 compared to 8.2 per cent in December 2023, while non-bank lending declined by 4.5 per cent compared with an increase of 10.2 per cent, due in part to a falloff in real estate mortgage lending and a slowdown in consumer loans, over the same period.”
While the report noted a slowdown in real estate mortgage lending toward the end of 2024, it confirmed there was positive momentum over most of the year.
The survey stated, “For real estate mortgage lending, growth remained healthy in 2024. Over the twelve months to December 2024, despite a slight deceleration to 6.3 per cent, from 6.9 per cent in December 2023, the growth of real estate mortgage loans kept momentum.
“Residential real estate mortgage lending outstripped commercial real estate mortgage lending over the year. In December 2024, residential and commercial real estate mortgage lending recorded increases of 6.4 per cent and 5.9 per cent, respectively, compared to 5.4 per cent and 10.1 per cent in December 2023.”
The final quarter slowdown was particular severe with regard to home renovation. However according to the data presented in the survey there appeared to be greater interest in newly constructed homes.
“According to quarterly data, interest rates on ‘new’ commercial bank real estate mortgages edged down from 5.08 per cent in the last quarter of 2023 to 4.85 per cent in the last quarter of 2024—reflecting a deceleration in both residential (0.2 percentage point fall) and commercial (0.7 percentage point fall) mortgage rates,” the report said.”
With the dip in rates, the market performance was mixed. Growth in the volume of loans for renovation suffered, contracting by 13.9 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2024. However, the volume of loans to acquire newly constructed houses, land and existing houses accelerated by 40.4 per cent, 14.5 per cent and 14.2 per cent, respectively, in the fourth quarter of 2024.”